The Peopling of Southwest Asia - Arabian Peninsula

Sile

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Location
Australia
Ethnic group
North Alpine Italian
Y-DNA haplogroup
T1a2 -Z19945..Jura
mtDNA haplogroup
H95a1 ..Pannoni
http://www.nature.com/articles/srep40338?WT.feed_name=subjects_genetics

Archaeological, palaeontological and geological evidence shows that post-glacial warming released human populations from their various climate-bound refugia. Yet specific connections between these refugia and the timing and routes of post-glacial migrations that ultimately established modern patterns of genetic variation remain elusive. Here, we use Y-chromosome markers combined with autosomal data to reconstruct population expansions from regional refugia in Southwest Asia. Populations from three regions in particular possess distinctive autosomal genetic signatures indicative of likely refugia: one, in the north, centered around the eastern coast of the Black Sea, the second, with a more Levantine focus, and the third in the southern Arabian Peninsula. Modern populations from these three regions carry the widest diversity and may indeed represent the most likely descendants of the populations responsible for the Neolithic cultures of Southwest Asia. We reveal the distinct and datable expansion routes of populations from these three refugia throughout Southwest Asia and into Europe and North Africa and discuss the possible correlations of these migrations to various cultural and climatic events evident in the archaeological record of the past 15,000 years.



The earliest dates, with the oldest differentiations for J2 at 8.4 ka, and J1 at 8.9 ka, show an early divergence between the Caucasus from the rest of the populations.
 
Basically, they're using modern distributions to try to place the origin of the major yDna lineages in different "refugia" in the Near East. I'm surprised that they still place so much trust in this, but...

Using maximal diversity, they place J*(not J2) in the Caucasus, near Georgia, and J2 in Armenia, decreasing south and east in both cases.

"Maximal diversities, indicative of possible origins, are observed for J*(xJ2) in the Caucasus and for J2 in Armenia, decreasing south and east, although high diversities do not entirely correlate with high relative frequencies...These results indicate slightly greater time depth information of J, J1, and J2 in Turkey and populations from the Caucasus, in agreement with their higher diversity in this area. They also show greater differentiation of the E1b1b1 haplogroups between North Africa and the rest of Asia...
Due to the phylogenetic relationship between J1 and J2 markers, the TMRCAs for these are identical. The J1 and J2 split shows deepest time in the Caucasus, Syria and Turkey at 8.9 ka and 8.4 ka, respectively."

"The population split estimates (Fig. 2) show divergences largely reflecting the trend in TMRCAs with older dates closer to the Caucasus, but with differentiation times roughly 1/3 of the TMRCAs, suggesting that 2/3 of STR diversity evolution occurred prior to the earliest population differentiations that followed the Late Glacial Period expansions. Expansions therefore distributed a broad spectrum of shared STR haplotypes that had already evolved within their isolated populations. This broadly shared diversity explains the weak geographical discrimination observed in the phylogenetic networks"

"The J1 haplogroup shows greatest differentiation of the Caucasus at 8.9 ka, then Ethiopia at 7.9 ka, followed by Armenia and Turkey at 6.9 ka. The J2 Haplogroup shows an earliest isolation of the Caucasus at 8.4 ka. For the E1b1b1 haplogroup, Egypt, North Africa, and the rest of the populations differentiated at 11.6 ka nearly polytomously (Fig. 2)."

Here is the TMRCA table. Given these huge confidence intervals I'm not sure how seriously to take this.
http://www.nature.com/articles/srep40338/tables/1

The pie charts and other distribution maps can be found here:
http://www.nature.com/article-assets/npg/srep/2017/170106/srep40338/extref/srep40338-s1.pdf

This is a nice graphic showing steppe areas, plant refugia, and signs of human occupation in the UP:
http://www.nature.com/articles/srep40338/figures/5

Also,I guess Haber still seems to be going with the original Anatolian homeland hypothesis for the spread of Indo-European languages. I don't think anyone else is still going with this one:

"The Fertile Crescent based “Neolithic Revolution” replaced most cultures across the region, spreading Indo-European languages from an Anatolian homeland14, both westward to Europe, northward to the steppes, and eastward to the Iranian plateau and beyond."
 

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