What I find fascinating about Italy is that it has a clear break between north and south. It is also seen in the Y-DNA.
R1b is mostly U152 in the north center, E1b1b is mostly E-V13.
https://i.imgur.com/ax3TNMS.png
What I find fascinating about Italy is that it has a clear break between north and south. It is also seen in the Y-DNA.
R1b is mostly U152 in the north center, E1b1b is mostly E-V13.
https://i.imgur.com/ax3TNMS.png
I think you're treating haplogroups like "peoples" too much, and also disregarding the extremely old age of some of these haploroups (like I1 and I2, though all extant I1 derives from a much later branch).
If my nMonte models using Global25 datasheets are not completely wrong, then it's clear that autosomally (Y-DNA haplogroups, especially of modern populations, can be very deceiving and hide much of the true story that took place, given many random things that cause genetic drift) the steppe-related input in North Italy and Central-Western Italy is not the same found in South Italy and, partly, in Central-Eastern Italy. The former (North and Central-Western) is much more formed by Bell Beaker influx, the latter much more influenced by Catacomb/Late Yamnaya-related and CWC influx. I don't think that's just a coincidence, because many of the BA/IA Balkans and Greek samples also tend to prefer Catacomb, West Yamnaya and, in more northern parts, CWC. Besides, we just can't ignore that Venetic looks close to Italic, but with some distinctive features linking it to Celtic and Germanic. So it might've been derived from a sister language of Proto-Italic that stayed in the north. By the early Roman era, much of South Italy, especially in the lower lands, was mostly non-Italic, unless you take for granted that Sicel and other little known languages were definitely Italic when we have no such proofs. Greek and Messapic were spoken there.
You failed to read my initial post which compared Latium with Campania, which was the Central and Southern I was comparing. Latium/Rome is best represented in Central. Think of Central Italy, and most people think of Rome. Think of Southern Italy and most people think of Naples. And Campania/Naples is best represented in South. Latium is where the Romans and Latins lived. And Naples Bay was founded by the Greeks (and others). The Rome-Naples-Sicily-Greece connection.
Yes, (ygorcs) it isn't just the Anatolian Neolithic or Caucasus in southern Italians that makes them Greek like, its the shared steppe ancestry as well
Steppe, which was addressed:
Also identical in Ts and Es and one percent difference in R1a.
Visit any storm site, and these individuals will make anything think Northern Italy begins in Latium, when Southern Italy begins more in Latium than the North.
Back to my original point, you would need heavy Greek Southern Italian and Eastern Med influx to push most Romans into the Southern Italian camp (If Italic were BA invaders/settlers in Central and Southern Italy). Which was my small point to begin with.
You should not presume that modern frequencies of haplogroups in specific regions are representative of how they were 2000 ago, far less that they are representative of the even much earlier population that brought the language that would eventually thrive in that region. That's bound to lead to disappointing conclusions. Consider the genetic drift that is especially fast and dynamic in the Y-DNA haplogroups, the progressive loss of close association between autosomal ancestry and Y-DNA haplogroups, the mixing over the generations, the fact that a language can be and is often established by a socioculturally powerful minority (and that may happen multiple times, for instance: the language of people A is adopted to region of people B with a genetic influx of ~30%; then the people B transmits its language to people C, with a genetic influx of ~20%; then it's passed to people D with a genetic influx of ~20%... in the end the people D will speak the language that was ultimately spoken by the people A, who contributed to just 12% of their genetics - that might well have been the case of Italic peoples between the BA and the modern era)...
These similarities in frequencies of Y-DNA haplogroups may mean something, but they also may be totally coincidental. You shouldn't assume two populations have exactly the same origins based on a similarity of Y-DNA distribution. Even populations that are basically identical can have very different proportions of Y-DNA haplogroups just due to genetic drift. Genetic relatedness has even much more to do with Autosomal DNA, not paternal markers.
Besides, the Gray & Atkinson Bayesian model of IE languages has been heavily criticized in its premises and methodology by a vast array of linguists, who pointed out that some of its more suspicious conclusions (for starters, the dating of the earlier splits itself) could only have happened as a result of a model that was wrong in several of its very basis, treating the evolution of languages exactly as if they were the evolution of biological living beings. Many linguists presented solid counter-evidences and counter-arguments that clearly demonstrate the mistake of trying to "reinvent the wheel" (a popular expression here) of an entire science with some hi-tech "mathematical method" supposed to solve it all using just a few algorithms based on a method devised for biology originally. If you want to understand some of the caveats that render these results unreliable, see here:
https://www.languagesoftheworld.info...e-origins.html
http://literaryashland.org/?p=10433
The assumption that Italic and Germanic are more related is also extremely doubtful from the point of view of historical linguistics. In terms of isoglosses and shared grammatical innovations, Germanic probably shares less with Italic than with several other IE branches (even Balto-Slavic and Indo-Iranian), and most current scholars only see a direct relationship of Italic with Celtic.
There are obvious differences between the people of Lazio and Campania: the first are Central Italians and the second are Southern Italians. It is also showed in the study discussed in this thread.
https://i.imgur.com/tpLc14V.png
https://media.nature.com/original/na...g2015233x8.jpg
https://image.ibb.co/kJVR30/EURO-PCA.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/Gk4pYrq.jpg
https://i2.wp.com/mpbritt.com/wp-con...ryDNA-Data.png
I used to be convinced that major Balkanic migrations reached Italy, but IMHO that's untenable considering those leaks. If Greeks and Messapians had a major impact there, modern south Italians and especially the Romans would be more northern and western.
Look at the Adriatic samples we have. They have the same Iberian-Alpine ancestry presumably also found in the Etruscans. The source population for the Italians on the other hand needs to have very significant Levantine and Iranian ancestry components.
How is that so if the Mycenaean Greek and the IA Empuries Greek samples are virtually as "southern" and "eastern" as the Romans in that PCA? I'm sure there was some extra Iranian and Levantine-enriched input into Italy, but I don't think those leaks discard major Balkanic migrations at all. Present-day Greeks and Balkanites as a whole are much more northern and western than those old DNA samples seem to indicate the ancient populations were (except for very northern Balkanic people, basically around Pannonia).
There is a clue about all these that ties to your narrative about Bronze Age/Mycenaean/Aegean migrations into Italy, and specifically Rome, which might shed a little more light, although it could be totally wrong. It's actually part of Roman mythology and has to do with the Arcadian hero Evander of Pallene. I know mythology is not absolute in terms of corroboration in a broader scientific context, but still i find it interesting that it relates with this leaked data. Per Roman tradition he supposedly founded the city of Pallantium on the future site of Rome and specifically on the Palatine Hill, sixty years before the Trojan War. He also instituted the festival of the Lupercalia. Evander was deified after his death and an altar was constructed to him on the Aventine Hill. I have also read of another tradition that presents the Capitoline Hill as originally having been founded by Hercules, although even this might be related to Evander bearing in mind the erection of the Great Altar of Hercules in the Forum Boarium, ascribed to Evander and situated on the plain between the Capitoline, Palatine, and Aventine Hills. Evander was also a protagonist in the Aeneid by Virgil, having been an ally of Aeneas. Do we have any information on the dates of the Roman samples, so we can determine whether this southern-like influence represents proto-Roman or subsequent migrations? Do we know when it's coming out in full?
I'm not sure about major expansion. But it's already a general rule that where there will be Bell Beaker archeological traces, you will have great chances to found Steppe / Balkans ancestry and R1b-P312, and Bell Beaker Culture is the likely only candidate to be related with such ancestry. Everything Anatolia, Levantine or Iranian in Italy probably came from the Sea.
When it comes to modern samples, especially the Greek ones, keep in mind that the representations tended to be north-related mostly. Other modern autosomal studies do cluster for example Peloponnesians with Sicilians, therefore respectively close to the Mycenaean samples as well.
No, I don't agree with it. If you've read any of my posts on the subject at all you would know that. I've been saying for ten years that I didn't think there was a folk migration from Anatolia to "Etruria" in the first millennium BC. The only possibility which remained was "perhaps" some movement of elites. What I have said and believe is that there was immigration to Italy from Greece starting very early, before the major colonization of the first millennium BC and that this kind of ancestry probably tricked slowly up the peninsula. If there's J2 in the Etruscans it could very well have come from that, not any direct migration from Anatolia.
The places where the argument has always been that the Etruscans were formed through a mass migration from Anatolia have been precisely Eurogenes and Anthrogenica, although lately Anthrogenica has modified it somewhat to opt for an "elite" takeover.
I think you've rather got things backwards.
As for the Italics I have never even considered that they weren't steppe admixed.
It's just that here we don't shut down opposing viewpoints. We attempt, where possible, to civilly show people why they are incorrect. If they start insulting other people or posting ultra-nationalist or nordicist propaganda that's another story.
There's a big difference between the Illyrians and the Mycenaean like Greeks. I have no problem with an Illyrian or Thracian like population forming part of the ethnogenesis of Italians. Heck, they're some of my highest matches in terms of ancient peoples.
They may even have trickled into Southern Italy.
Greeks are a completely different story. We're not talking about modern mainland Greeks here. We're talking about the Mycenaeans. The Mycenaeans plot near modern Southern Italians/Sicilians, Ashkenazim, and near Cypriots. Did they have a lot of "Armenian" like, South Caucasus like ancestry? I don't know what "a lot" means. What was it? 20%. OK. On Admixture Southern Italians and even modern mainland Greeks have about the same amount of that "component", as I've pointed out numerous times. Levantine? Was it about 5% in the Mycenaeans? I have to go back and check.
I really don't understand your basis for this claim. We have TONS of archaeological and written evidence for ancient Greek migration into southern Italy. We have that kind of ancestry showing up in the Bronze Age.
Now there's suddenly some phantom population which explains things better? Which population? Where is the evidence?
Is this still about the four or five "ancient Romans" who drift toward Cyprus on that leaked PCA? The ancient populations of Crete, Rhodes, and most probably Cyprus as well fed into southern Italy and Sicily. They probably plot in that space. In fact, didn't one of the PCAs above show that?
Ed. Sorry, Ygorcs, we cross-posted.
it's somehow vintage, but the fourth map provides an idea about the Italian case.
Attachment 11101
I don't think that's a necessary conclusion. Do we have EBA and MBA samples from Central Italy and South Italy? Do we really know when these IA Roman samples come from and date from? I really don't know. It might be possible that we're dealing with successive waves in Central/South Italy: first a basically Sardinian-like EEF; then heavy Iranian and perhaps Levantine-rich waves; then waves bringing heavily diluted steppe-related input (from BB and later Balkanic IE, i.e. Greek, Messapian, perhaps Liburnian); and finally migrations during the imperial era (could they have brought more Levantines, North African/Punic and Anatolians than we thought?). By the way, I don't think these Romans look significantly more eastern than Cretans, who also have quite a bit of Iranian and Levantine ancestry in my calculations. What if most of the Greek flux came from the Aegean islands or even from West Anatolia? In sum, I have more doubts than answers after all these leaks. ;-P
@Angela, Ygorcs:
I suppose the Mycenaean samples we have thus far have too much EEF. but if the Greek settlers came from a more exotic place (Asia Minor etc.) that could work, provided the Greeks managed to replace the previous inhabitants. I personally doubt this because to me it looks like the native Fossa culture made up the bulk of the population. We'll see once we get early Iron Age samples.
I did go back and check. The separate Iran Neo/CHG in Mycenaeans was 18% as a high. They had no Levant Neo. Bronze Age Anatolians did, however, up to 6% in some analyses, and 11 to 14% in others, indicating there was definitely a move north into Anatolia. If Bronze Age Anatolians moved from there to the Greek Island, Greece, and Southern Italy, then they would have taken that ancestry along with them.
When we finally get Classical Era Greek samples, or even better, samples from the earlier parts of the first millennium BC from not only the mainland but the islands, I'd like to see them modeled with Levant Neo as one of the choices.
Apparently there are rumors that some of these ancient "Roman" samples which seem to drift toward Cyprus are from Pompeii. That's at the latest 79 AD, so I think we can say good-bye to all those elaborate fantasies that hordes of Byzantine Levantines and Anatolians moved to southern Italy without leaving a trace in the archaeology or the historical record.
I'd also like to point out that these researchers had better be very sure they're not picking up transient merchants and craftsmen and did some isotope analysis to help in that endeavor. The location of the burials would also be very important.
I've also been reading "Carthage Must Be Destroyed" in light of all the commentary about the Phoenicians/Carthaginians being responsible for "Levantine" ancestry in southern Italy. One of the problems is that in a run upthread, while supposedly Southern Italians like Calabrians have it, Sardinians do not. Yet, Sardinia had a substantial Phoenician/Carthaginian settlement and southern Italy did not.
When I have a chance I'll post some of the pertinent information from the book. I highly recommend it.
I saw a map and the phoenicians took a small corner in northwest Sicily but that's about it in terms of settling in what is now Italy. It would be strange for them to have gone to the mainland without recording that they did so in the first place. This plus the fact that (stated above) Sardinians don't score levant-neo yet Sardinia had far more Phoenician colonies.
Btw Im not against phoenicians in case someone wants to accuse me of being so. I'm against t-rolls who make assumptions about the origins of certain people without evidence due to hatred against them
Moreover, why would Roman Anatolians/Levantines have relocated to Apulia/Basilicata etc. where their signal is strongest. It makes no sense.
The people who settled those regions must have thought it preferrable to live as poor mountain shepherds rather than stay in their previous homes.
Thanks for these pictures - pity the categories are changing 10% by 10% (5% would have been more precise and avoid the impressions of vacuum where it's not the case). for Y-R1b,subclades would have been useful, by instance, when someones argue about Lazio and Campania.