Beat ya to it. Me last year:
Although, you add the extra layer of specificity to identify the
Celts as the origin of Basque R1b. I'm not so sure. It seems like it could have drifted before the formation of Celtic, maybe within late Bell Beaker or early Tumulus culture or something (it's still tough to pin down the spread of language and haplogroups with archaeological cultures). Or it could have been the Celts, or have a multi-layered history. Who knows?
Also, although invasion and rape was no doubt a common occurrence during the Iron Age and earlier, I don't think we need to postulate massive invasion/rape scenarios to explain why a population had a particular haplogroup become dominant. There are many more effects, like drift, that can magnify particular lineages, especially when the population is small. Drift may not be random in some cases, either. A given lineage could have a cultural or genetic advantage, as well. Meaning that, by and large, the women could have been more than willing.
I2a is very young in the Balkans. The Basques have more I2a diversity than, say, the Serbs. Take from that what you will.
Not more ancient than the metal ages, though, as Basque has its own words for metallurgy and agriculture. If it was a Mesolithic European language, we would expect it to have needed to borrow these words from invaders. Instead, it seems to have either brought them, or absorbed them not too long before IE came along.
It's also worth noting that autosomally, Basques are more "Neolithic farmer" than "Mesolithic hunter-gatherer." The northwestern Uralic populations like Finns, Saami, and Estonians are more closely related to the Mesolithic hunter-gatherers than the Basques are, and that includes a comparison to an ancient sample from Mesolithic Spain. See the discussion
here.
Why I2a then, when I2a is a Mesolithic lineage, or earlier? Turns out that the I2a present in Basques, I2a-M26, shows a modern diversity pattern indicitive of expansion in the
Neolithic. And in ancient Neolithic samples, we've found tons of I2a-M26, while Mesolithic samples have been I2a-M423 and I2-M223 instead. That indicates that I2a-M26 is likely a Mesolithic marker that spread
within a largely
Neolithic population--much as R1b is quite possibly a metal-age marker that spread within that same population later.