LeBrok
Elite member
- Messages
- 10,261
- Reaction score
- 1,617
- Points
- 0
- Location
- Calgary
- Ethnic group
- Citizen of the world
- Y-DNA haplogroup
- R1b Z2109
- mtDNA haplogroup
- H1c
I like that both opponents and advocates of interracial marriage here are in agreement that the government does not need to be involved in the question. I doubt that the trend of society as a whole to keep governments out of it will ever reverse, and I think that's a good thing.
I honestly don't have a strong opinion on the question of how things will progress naturally if governments are left out of the equation. There are just too many places, like rural China, where there are such large pools of unmixed people that we can't currently put any reasonable estimates on how long it would take them to mix. We'd need such an estimate to compare against a similar estimate of how often new races would pop up in order to answer the question that this thread is asking.
I will say that there are certainly particular locations in the West where mixed-race people will quickly become a majority, including my home state of California. There is little pressure to marry within one's own race here, and even less to marry within one's own ethnic group. In my family, the closest I've heard to anyone even mentioning any sort of opposition to marrying out of the group has come from my mother-in-law's side, who are recent immigrants from the Middle East. And even to them, white Americans are universally considered an acceptable group to marry into (they all like me very much!).
One interesting dynamic is that certain gender/race combinations are more likely to marry other gender/race combinations than others. I don't have a study handy, but I recall that Asian women are more likely than Asian men to marry non-Asians, and black men are more likely than black women to marry non-blacks.
The time frame of complete mixing wasn't specified. From posts and various people responses I gather that the time frame is seen from few hundreds to few thousands of years.
Obviously hundreds of years are not enough for full mixing. I would say that most people will be mixed already, but not looking photogenically very similar yet. There will be pockets of not mixed populations, mostly religious conservatives (and a village where Kardu becomes a dictator), the way Amish or orthodox Jews stay genetically preserved.
I'm guessing that around year 10,000 from now (roughly 400 generations), all people will look very alike, fully mixed. Of course, this is assuming that "designer" babies will be forbidden, and technology will shelter us from evolutionary forcing. With designer babies in the equation, people will be quite varied phenotypicaly. Kids might not look exactly like their parents anymore. Possibly we will see generational differences, a la fashion. Generation of mostly blond, followed by generation of mostly black kids.