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Here's the correlation matrix of the 224 population averages from this spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...gid=1872836177
North_Sea Atlantic Baltic Eastern_Euro West_Med West_Asian East_Med Red_Sea South_Asian Southeast_Asian Siberian Amerindian Oceanian Northeast_African Sub-Saharan North_Sea 1 0.82907 0.685673 0.448708 0.18488 -0.18007 -0.23952 -0.24735 -0.2653 -0.28824 -0.26861 -0.15932 -0.0972 -0.25591 -0.22893 Atlantic 0.82907 1 0.527864 0.19318 0.613203 -0.23107 -0.04295 -0.11988 -0.32111 -0.31932 -0.33361 -0.18493 -0.10593 -0.25241 -0.2357 Baltic 0.685673 0.527864 1 0.658021 0.0197 -0.14359 -0.23146 -0.24275 -0.2277 -0.24928 -0.19999 -0.13439 -0.08235 -0.23411 -0.207 Eastern_Euro 0.448708 0.19318 0.658021 1 -0.22334 0.030626 -0.31726 -0.3358 -0.04538 -0.22336 0.081366 -0.04838 -0.08966 -0.28309 -0.24672 West_Med 0.18488 0.613203 0.0197 -0.22334 1 -0.12112 0.412411 0.220175 -0.26823 -0.25275 -0.2855 -0.14599 -0.08405 -0.14177 -0.16247 West_Asian -0.18007 -0.23107 -0.14359 0.030626 -0.12112 1 0.417185 0.074972 0.180244 -0.20128 -0.18488 -0.1376 -0.08182 -0.20832 -0.19664 East_Med -0.23952 -0.04295 -0.23146 -0.31726 0.412411 0.417185 1 0.738665 -0.17717 -0.24948 -0.2774 -0.15786 -0.08575 -0.03716 -0.15961 Red_Sea -0.24735 -0.11988 -0.24275 -0.3358 0.220175 0.074972 0.738665 1 -0.17759 -0.19547 -0.22352 -0.12374 -0.06581 0.344172 -0.05556 South_Asian -0.2653 -0.32111 -0.2277 -0.04538 -0.26823 0.180244 -0.17717 -0.17759 1 -0.0294 -0.10954 -0.06239 0.011042 -0.13573 -0.11962 Southeast_Asian -0.28824 -0.31932 -0.24928 -0.22336 -0.25275 -0.20128 -0.24948 -0.19547 -0.0294 1 0.319315 -0.0308 0.05219 -0.12127 -0.106 Siberian -0.26861 -0.33361 -0.19999 0.081366 -0.2855 -0.18488 -0.2774 -0.22352 -0.10954 0.319315 1 0.122415 -0.0272 -0.14423 -0.12527 Amerindian -0.15932 -0.18493 -0.13439 -0.04838 -0.14599 -0.1376 -0.15786 -0.12374 -0.06239 -0.0308 0.122415 1 -0.02135 -0.07584 -0.06464 Oceanian -0.0972 -0.10593 -0.08235 -0.08966 -0.08405 -0.08182 -0.08575 -0.06581 0.011042 0.05219 -0.0272 -0.02135 1 -0.03884 -0.03581 Northeast_African -0.25591 -0.25241 -0.23411 -0.28309 -0.14177 -0.20832 -0.03716 0.344172 -0.13573 -0.12127 -0.14423 -0.07584 -0.03884 1 0.460995 Sub-Saharan -0.22893 -0.2357 -0.207 -0.24672 -0.16247 -0.19664 -0.15961 -0.05556 -0.11962 -0.106 -0.12527 -0.06464 -0.03581 0.460995 1
Not surprisingly, the first four components (North Sea, Atlantic, Baltic, Eastern Euro) appear to form a cluster (their correlations are all positive). And the West Asian, East Med, and Red Sea components appear to form another cluster.
The highest correlations are as follows:
North Sea with Atlantic - 0.82907
East Med with Red Sea - 0.738665
North Sea with Baltic - 0.685673
Eastern Euro with Baltic - 0.658021
Atlantic with West Med - 0.613203
With the ancient dna results I've seen, the North Sea with Atlantic mixing would seem to have occurred relatively recently, while the East Med with Red Sea correlation might have been there for a longer time. Most of the Neolithic Farmers were highest in the West Med component, with the Atlantic and East Med components also being high, along with smaller amounts of Red Sea. While the Western Eurasian HGs seem to have been overwhelmingly from the first four components, with often some Amerindian and traces of others such as South Asian and Oceanian. And of those Western Eurasian HGs, the Atlantic component tended to be smaller, especially for the non-Western European ones - although strangely, the oldest ones (Ust'-Ishim and Kostenki 14) had a good share of the Atlantic component.
So what you're saying is the Atlantic component could be broken down into two parts, with one part coming from the East during the Bronze age?
If so, I suspect the Bell Beakers had both of those components. The average of the Atlantic component for the 7 Bell Beaker samples is 27.08% from this spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...#gid=917906623 That's nearly as high as what it is now in the Atlantic coast countries.
i think the most typical ancient 'atlantic' was made of some WHGs DNA + the double of early people closer to West-Med (neolithic part of EEF) - a small part only came from East, later, mediated by the some bearers of dominant 'north-sea' -
the proximity 'atlantic' to 'north sea' could be a symetric flood of two directions osmosis not erasing the first great enough distances, but diminshing it, WITHOUT FORGET the common original WHG (we find too in 'baltic' -
the little part common between today 'atlantic' and ancient skeletons DNA of Eurasia and Siberia is AN OLD INHERITAGE (ancient >> young, of course!)
almost ALL the today componants we pooled are heirs of these previous men, at some level or another so we find nowaday parts of this ancient DNA inequally legated, but we LABELL IT 'atlantic' or 'south-asian' or 'X' according to the geographic populations where we find them concentrated today -