moore2moore
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A little knowledge is dangerous. You are a sapient creature who can read, and you've read an ancient source or two.
You don't know, for example, what every serious historian does: that the numbers in ancient sources are exaggerated.
I hope you don't think Methuselah lived for 1000 years, as ancient Hebrew historians tell us.
I hope you don't seriously think that an ancient people, the Persians, fielded an army of 2.5 million, because an ancient Greek historian told you that. (ALL credible modern estimates are that the Persian force was about 1/10 that size.)
If you knew a little more, you would know that Valleius Paterculus was a bit of a sycophant, exaggerating the victories of his patrons, for his patrons.
So, after a little further education, I hope you don't think that the "100,000 captives" is a precise count. News flash: it's NOT.
Let's assume it was 10,000, which is consistent with the exaggeration level often found in ancient sources.
Using comparable figures from historic slave trading, 25% would have died en route to their destination. That leaves 7500.
You have heard of the wealthy Roman-era cities like Antioch, Athens, Sirmium, etc. outside of Italy right?
You do recognize that most agricultural demand was in places like Sardinia and Egypt, right?
You do understand that the salt and metal mines were not in Italy, right?
OK, but you stubbornly cling to this notion that all the slaves went to Italy.
We'll give you 20%. That's 1,875.
Now, let's assume that half of them weren't allowed to have kids, or were castrated, or were too poor to ever think of having a family, or weren't allowed to marry.
That leaves about 900 people from this "massive slave trade" in Italy who got to procreate. I think Italy could have absorbed that.
If one of these freedmen made it big, it was big news. Very splashy. Very newsworthy. And the Romans would complain loudly, so it made its way into Juvenal.
But these were not the huge demographic events you argue for. Not even close. This is why the clines in Italy: north, south, east, west still cling to their prehistoric configurations.
You don't know, for example, what every serious historian does: that the numbers in ancient sources are exaggerated.
I hope you don't think Methuselah lived for 1000 years, as ancient Hebrew historians tell us.
I hope you don't seriously think that an ancient people, the Persians, fielded an army of 2.5 million, because an ancient Greek historian told you that. (ALL credible modern estimates are that the Persian force was about 1/10 that size.)
If you knew a little more, you would know that Valleius Paterculus was a bit of a sycophant, exaggerating the victories of his patrons, for his patrons.
So, after a little further education, I hope you don't think that the "100,000 captives" is a precise count. News flash: it's NOT.
Let's assume it was 10,000, which is consistent with the exaggeration level often found in ancient sources.
Using comparable figures from historic slave trading, 25% would have died en route to their destination. That leaves 7500.
You have heard of the wealthy Roman-era cities like Antioch, Athens, Sirmium, etc. outside of Italy right?
You do recognize that most agricultural demand was in places like Sardinia and Egypt, right?
You do understand that the salt and metal mines were not in Italy, right?
OK, but you stubbornly cling to this notion that all the slaves went to Italy.
We'll give you 20%. That's 1,875.
Now, let's assume that half of them weren't allowed to have kids, or were castrated, or were too poor to ever think of having a family, or weren't allowed to marry.
That leaves about 900 people from this "massive slave trade" in Italy who got to procreate. I think Italy could have absorbed that.
If one of these freedmen made it big, it was big news. Very splashy. Very newsworthy. And the Romans would complain loudly, so it made its way into Juvenal.
But these were not the huge demographic events you argue for. Not even close. This is why the clines in Italy: north, south, east, west still cling to their prehistoric configurations.