I have a feeling that Trump is gonna win.
Only if there are a lot of people out there who aren't telling the posters the truth, which is possible. Have you taken a look at Nate Silver's five thirty eight site? He has Clinton up by three (while a lot of the national polls have her up by four to five). The real story is in the states though. All those Puerto Ricans who have been moving to Florida and Nevada and even North Carolina a bit are registering in big numbers. If he loses Florida and North Carolina I think he's done. Even getting Michigan or another rust belt state isn't going to be enough. Maybe if he had gone up there earlier? A friend of mine has family in Michigan, and she tells me her family doesn't know of a single person voting for Clinton. Of course, they're not from Detroit.
The interesting thing is that if he hadn't repeatedly spoken about women the way he did (even more than the women coming forward), and if he had kept the rhetoric to building a wall or generally securing the border with Mexico instead of talking about deporting twenty million people, I think he would have gotten more women, and a lot of Hispanics would have looked at the rest of the message and perhaps gone along.
People can be as condescending as they like, but a lot of his message is resonating with people: jobs are gone that will never come back, a lot of these new jobs are low paying, part-time, service jobs, so people need three to replace one, if you're not on Medicaid you're paying a fortune for steadily worsening health service, the new immigrants are indeed taking some jobs from citizens, political correctness is running amok, the police are being assassinated in the streets, and everyone, both left and right knows that the media is in the tank for the Democrats, and that Hillary Clinton is thoroughly corrupt whether or not she left enough evidence behind to get a conviction.
Everywhere I go, the check-out line at the supermarket, the doctor's waiting room, the library, the post office, all I hear is people bemoaning that it came down to these two candidates. Most people think she'll win, but even the one's voting for her aren't very happy about it. The depression is palpable, and that's not too strong a term. If nothing else, the investigation into the Clinton Foundation is alive and well and if it doesn't go forward half the country will think it's a cover-up. I also see no chance of her bringing the country together. All this talk of unity over the last two days is nonsense. She's spent the last year trying to Balkanize the country, trying to split it along racial lines, and now she wants to unify it? I don't even want to get started on him.
I'm so glad I live in a state where my national vote can't count, so I can refuse to cast a ballot for either of them. I'll just vote down ballot.
Whoever wins, I'm not watching the inauguration, I don't want to hear any speeches, I'm locking the remote so it doesn't go to news channels. This is just a mess. This whole election has been disgusting, and the results will be the same no matter who wins...