Moots: Ancient Rome Paper

Anybody with half a brain who's been around for longer than a minute knows what Davidski is all about. Those who deny it either secretly agree with him or just want to be able to use his programs and post on his site or are so new to the "hobby" that they don't have a clue about the "players".

If the debacle with the Mycenaeans, whom he claimed were going to be carbon copies of the Corded Ware people of Poland up until the day before the publication of the paper, and the Etruscans, who were going to be Anatolian Iron Age people up until a week before the paper came out, isn't enough for people to see his analyses aren't reliable then they're being wilfully blind. I certainly didn't make mistakes like that.

Oh, and don't forget how the northern Indians were going to be 50% Andronovo or whatever nonsense he modeled for months.

Ignore him.

On to more important things.

R473 Etruscan
Distance to:R473_Iron_Age_Civitavecchia
5.23807216I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
7.33017053I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
7.88686249I1113_Malak_Preslavets
8.15739542I2111_Trypillia
8.17621551I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
8.33299466I2215_Malak_Preslavets
8.84239786I1297_Malak_Preslavets
9.36587423I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
9.46015856Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.83392089I3151_Trypillia
10.07499380Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.18056482I2110_Trypillia
10.61650131Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.62080505I1926_Trypillia
10.62551175ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
10.84815192CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
11.21283639I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.59367931I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
12.06694245I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
12.55335015I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
12.55979299NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
13.34862165I1295_Malak_Preslavets
14.53531217I2440_Globular_Amphora
14.54483757IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9


Bavaria BB did show up, but at a further distance than the Balkan samples. Same for the Spanish samples which show up.

R474 Etruscan...This one has good hits to the German BB and North Alpine samples, but equally good hits to the Balkans Bronze Age.
Distance to:R474_Iron_Age_Civitavecchia
5.74122809I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
6.77580991Bavaria_BB_II5524
8.72072818NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
9.30280603NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
9.65161126I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.61332653I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.90744700I1113_Malak_Preslavets
11.18787737I2215_Malak_Preslavets
11.81452496I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
11.82549788CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
12.33373423I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
12.54336877I2165_Balkans_BronzeAge
12.68957840I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
13.05530161Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.21538876NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_119
14.00343886I2111_Trypillia
14.45190299I2181_Balkans_Chalcolithic_outlier
14.92140074I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
15.52350798ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
15.70083756NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_78
16.12808730I3151_Trypillia
16.32355047BronzeAgeEngland_I2462
16.50133328I1297_Malak_Preslavets
16.56924561Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
17.55443819BellBeakerSouthernFrance_I3874


R1015 Etruscan-more Balkan Bronze Age heavy
Distance to:R1015_Iron_Age_Veio_Grotta_Gramiccia
5.90466765I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
7.39762124I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
7.71334558I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
8.13312363I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
8.35159266I2215_Malak_Preslavets
8.37548805I2111_Trypillia
8.72612743I3151_Trypillia
9.37365457I2110_Trypillia
9.64178925Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.76218725I1113_Malak_Preslavets
9.95499874Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.42357424CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
10.52312216I1297_Malak_Preslavets
10.70558733ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
10.72228520I1926_Trypillia
11.05433851I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
11.10513395Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.40769915I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.85190702I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
11.99557418I1295_Malak_Preslavets
12.39624540I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
13.15312510NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
14.56524631ANI160_Varna_Outlier
14.83928570I4088_Balkans_Chalcolithic
14.89781192IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9


R1016 Roman-the only upper class sample-again, closer to Bronze Age Balkans
Distance to:R1016_Iron_Age_Castel_di_Decima
7.35068024I3151_Trypillia
8.76047373I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
9.09492716I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
9.45085710I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
9.68979876I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.22361971I2110_Trypillia
10.45816906Bavaria_BB_II5524
10.55012322I2215_Malak_Preslavets
10.69418534Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.99995000CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
11.07581148I2111_Trypillia
11.10573726I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
11.18283506ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
11.73281296I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
11.86617040I1926_Trypillia
11.93298370I1113_Malak_Preslavets
11.95698122I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
12.09002895I1295_Malak_Preslavets
12.25331384I1297_Malak_Preslavets
12.57254549I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
13.06662925Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.48874716NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
14.70167337ANI160_Varna_Outlier
14.73282050NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
15.32862681IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9


Boville Ernica-Bavarian BB and a Spanish sample show up relatively early, but Balkans is first.
Distance to:R1021_Iron_Age_Boville_Ernica
6.69770856I3151_Trypillia
7.95362182CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
8.44269507Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.72555911I2215_Malak_Preslavets
9.81126393I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.30931133I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
10.38576911I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.45481229I1113_Malak_Preslavets
10.87415284ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
11.41484998I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.43899034I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.56217540NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
12.04413965I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
12.20604768I2110_Trypillia
12.28929209I1297_Malak_Preslavets
12.79157535Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.04577326I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
13.36867982NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
13.42683879I2111_Trypillia
14.22975755I1926_Trypillia
14.38184967I1295_Malak_Preslavets
14.64225392Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
14.87163407I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
16.00559902IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9
16.21570535IlergetesTribeCatalan_I3320

R851, maybe more western?

Distance to:R851_Iron_Age_Ardea
7.12745396I3151_Trypillia
7.74215732CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
8.31362737I2215_Malak_Preslavets
8.37911093ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
8.94475265I1113_Malak_Preslavets
8.99763302Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.73866521I1297_Malak_Preslavets
10.11018299I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.14648708I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
10.83610631NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
11.57587146I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
11.68067207I2110_Trypillia
11.81369967I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
12.75417971I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
12.96713538I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.14383886I1926_Trypillia
13.18246183I2111_Trypillia
13.56668346IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9
13.62619169NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
13.98647919BronzeAgeSpainCogotas_I12208
14.07380901Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
14.10845137IlergetesTribeCatalan_I3320
14.47627369I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
14.57562692IlercavonesCatalan_I3321
14.86646226I2440_Globular_Amphora

Same for R435
Distance to:R435_Iron_Age_Palestrina_Colombella
2.14441134I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
6.60470287NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
6.79479212ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
6.97894691I1113_Malak_Preslavets
7.11525825I2215_Malak_Preslavets
8.59178678NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_119
9.01150931I1297_Malak_Preslavets
9.15171569Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.40140947CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
9.51282292BronzeAgeEngland_I2462
9.63494162IlergetesTribeCatalan_I3320
10.53571070NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
11.23877217I2181_Balkans_Chalcolithic_outlier
11.64855356IlercavonesCatalan_I3321
12.15553783BronzeAgeSpainCogotas_I12208
12.23966911I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.58203961I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.76760691NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_78
13.82287597IberianSettlementCataloniaSpain_I3496
13.98864540IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9
14.33947349I3151_Trypillia
14.60477319BellBeakerSouthernFrance_I3874
14.91302116I2111_Trypillia
15.69331705I2440_Globular_Amphora
15.79126974I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge


From what I can see there's a mixture of Balkan Bronze Age and North Alpine/German BB/Iberian Bronze Age, with some samples leaning more one way than the other.

I would need more Etruscan samples to say whether they lean more "eastern" than "western" Bronze Age in comparison to the Latins.

Whether it was always mixed or the mixture occurred after they arrived in Italy I don't know.

To get a balanced view both German Beaker and Balkan Bronze have to be included in the sources.
 
I put the MTA Time lines because the values you are hanging do not work in the Vadhuo calculator, there are separations, 0.00, and it does not work.


I have obtained very good results with Cogotas (Vettones) ilergetes, some illercavons, bell beaker, bronze age, bronze age north Alpine I obtained 18 results. In the Cogotas kit he gets El Argar, in a way ... I think getting better results would be already in the bronze jumping through the mountains, too good results from those samples I think for someone modern. (Both are mine, but I have an older kit)



TimeLINE2020Fefrero.jpeg

TimeLINE2020Fefreroll.jpeg
 
bicicleur: Is is fair to say that the Steppe migration people were varied in source populations. The Samarra culture to the North was exclusively Eastern European Hunter Gather and that would be part of the Steppe migration, would it not. The Yamnaya I think was in the Southern Danube region including Hungary, Austria, and likely included less EHG and more CHG and Iran Neolithic component. Lazaridis et al (2016) in "Genomic Insights into the Origin of Farming in the Near East" , Nature Vol. 536 p.423 documents that 43% of the ancestry in the Yamnaya was CHG and Iran Neolithic thus 57% would be EHG. So it has been documented by Raveane et al (2019) "Population Structure of modern-day Italians reveals patterns of ancient and archaic ancestries in Southern Europe", Science Advances 5. In Figure 2 of that paper, they document a strong CHG signal in pretty much every Italian Region save 1, which is I think the Northern Most one. Clearly Lazio has a strong CHG signal. It is documented in more Southern European Countries but not in NW Europe or Northern Europe or Eastern Europe in the samples that they used. So when speaking of the Steppe into Italy, is it possible that the pro-Italics had related but distinct admixture of EHG and CHG whereas the further North you go, the Steppe migration was more EHG.
 
bicicleur: Is is fair to say that the Steppe migration people were varied in source populations. The Samarra culture to the North was exclusively Eastern European Hunter Gather and that would be part of the Steppe migration, would it not. The Yamnaya I think was in the Southern Danube region including Hungary, Austria, and likely included less EHG and more CHG and Iran Neolithic component. Lazaridis et al (2016) in "Genomic Insights into the Origin of Farming in the Near East" , Nature Vol. 536 p.423 documents that 43% of the ancestry in the Yamnaya was CHG and Iran Neolithic thus 57% would be EHG. So it has been documented by Raveane et al (2019) "Population Structure of modern-day Italians reveals patterns of ancient and archaic ancestries in Southern Europe", Science Advances 5. In Figure 2 of that paper, they document a strong CHG signal in pretty much every Italian Region save 1, which is I think the Northern Most one. Clearly Lazio has a strong CHG signal. It is documented in more Southern European Countries but not in NW Europe or Northern Europe or Eastern Europe in the samples that they used. So when speaking of the Steppe into Italy, is it possible that the pro-Italics had related but distinct admixture of EHG and CHG whereas the further North you go, the Steppe migration was more EHG.

The Samara Culture existed much earlier than the bulk of the steppe migrations westwards and eastwards. By the time they happened, in the LCA and EBA, the Khvalynsk-related people had mixed extensively with Progress-related people (rich in CHG) and also in some parts with Sredny Stog-related people to form a more homogeneous Yamnaya-like cluster. I'm sure there was internal genetic structure with some having more EHG than others, but not dramatic differences as the ones that existed before in the LN or ECA.

I believe the extra CHG in some regions of Italy is more easily explainable as the final outcome of the same thing that had already started before the steppe migrations in the Central-Eastern Mediterranean: the increase in CHG/Iranian-related ancestry, in a descending cline from east to west (probably arriving in most places already diluted with ANF and EEF), independently of any steppe migration. That's what explains e.g. the Minoans and the Sicilian Bell Beaker.
 
there is some neolithic CHG in Italy
first pottery arrived in the northern Zagros 9 ka
between 9 and 8,8 ka herders started to move west

View attachment 11782
attachment.php


they had ceramics, probably sieves for dairy production

View attachment 11783
attachment.php


these people were probably CHG, it has been detected in Diros cave on the Peloponesos, and now in Italian neolithic
8,6 ka some of these people introduced cattle and ceramics in central anatolia, they were probably Y-DNA J and T
that is when Anatolian farmers started to move

View attachment 11784
attachment.php


they were G2a2 and C1a2, detected in Central Anatolia before, but also some minor J and T
but all this is not the main source of CHG in the Mediterranean today, that is bronze age CHG
 
The Samara Culture existed much earlier than the bulk of the steppe migrations westwards and eastwards. By the time they happened, in the LCA and EBA, the Khvalynsk-related people had mixed extensively with Progress-related people (rich in CHG) and also in some parts with Sredny Stog-related people to form a more homogeneous Yamnaya-like cluster. I'm sure there was internal genetic structure with some having more EHG than others, but not dramatic differences as the ones that existed before in the LN or ECA.
I believe the extra CHG in some regions of Italy is more easily explainable as the final outcome of the same thing that had already started before the steppe migrations in the Central-Eastern Mediterranean: the increase in CHG/Iranian-related ancestry, in a descending cline from east to west (probably arriving in most places already diluted with ANF and EEF), independently of any steppe migration. That's what explains e.g. the Minoans and the Sicilian Bell Beaker.
the Khvalynsk had steppe ancestry admixed with a tad of Siberian ancestry, their Y DNA was R1b (probably pre-V88), R1a and Q1a (hence the tad Siberian)
the people around the Dnjepr had steppe ancestry admixed with a tad of EEF, their Y DNA was pre-V88 R1b and I2a2a-L701

the Yamna were R1b-Z2103, they had pure steppe ancestry, no Siberian, no EEF
they were derived from R1b-P297, who were detected north since 9 ka, in the Samara and eastern Baltic area
during the 6,2 ka cold spell, some R1b-M269 probably moved south into the steppe, they were the Repin people who arrived in the Don-Volga area ca 5,95 ka
https://www.yfull.com/tree/R-P297/
 
The Samara Culture existed much earlier than the bulk of the steppe migrations westwards and eastwards. By the time they happened, in the LCA and EBA, the Khvalynsk-related people had mixed extensively with Progress-related people (rich in CHG) and also in some parts with Sredny Stog-related people to form a more homogeneous Yamnaya-like cluster. I'm sure there was internal genetic structure with some having more EHG than others, but not dramatic differences as the ones that existed before in the LN or ECA.

I believe the extra CHG in some regions of Italy is more easily explainable as the final outcome of the same thing that had already started before the steppe migrations in the Central-Eastern Mediterranean: the increase in CHG/Iranian-related ancestry, in a descending cline from east to west (probably arriving in most places already diluted with ANF and EEF), independently of any steppe migration. That's what explains e.g. the Minoans and the Sicilian Bell Beaker.

can you tell me more about these Progress-related people?
 
the Khvalynsk had steppe ancestry admixed with a tad of Siberian ancestry, their Y DNA was R1b (probably pre-V88), R1a and Q1a (hence the tad Siberian)
the people around the Dnjepr had steppe ancestry admixed with a tad of EEF, their Y DNA was pre-V88 R1b and I2a2a-L701

the Yamna were R1b-Z2103, they had pure steppe ancestry, no Siberian, no EEF
they were derived from R1b-P297, who were detected north since 9 ka, in the Samara and eastern Baltic area
during the 6,2 ka cold spell, some R1b-M269 probably moved south into the steppe, they were the Repin people who arrived in the Don-Volga area ca 5,95 ka
https://www.yfull.com/tree/R-P297/


Yamnaya had EEF, on average around 14%.
Do you know if R1b P297 in Kunda and Narva culture ( the eastern baltic R1b you mentioned) are ancestral to the Samara HG R1b? It would be quite interesting because Kunda and Narva were something like 75% WHG.
 
We have quite a few Bronze Age samples from those areas, and from Spain. I don't remember anyone getting good matches with them, although I just may have missed a post here and there.

NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_43,5.01,0.00,0.13,0.00,45.31,32.18,0.00,0.00,3.09,1.44,12.35,0.48
NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120,7.59,0.73,0.40,0.00,39.57,31.32,1.80,0.00,0.00,0.00,17.73,0.86
NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72,4.56,0.00,0.00,0.00,42.85,31.92,0.69,0.89,2.30,0.31,16.30,0.19
NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_119,9.54,1.40,0.00,0.27,43.57,32.66,0.11,0.14,0.20,0.00,11.08,1.01
NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_78,10.50,0.54,0.54,0.00,39.10,37.12,0.00,0.35,2.04,0.00,9.53,0.28
NorthAlpineSouthDutch_AITI_50,10.70,0.00,0.00,0.00,35.87,44.30,2.23,0.13,0.00,0.00,4.95,1.82
NorthAlpineSouthDutch_AITI_2,5.63,0.00,0.00,0.00,40.44,41.78,1.83,0.00,1.04,0.00,8.28,0.99

BronzeAgeSpainCogotas_I12208,1.39,0.00,5.31,0.43,54.53,22.97,1.16,0.00,3.96,0.94,8.35,0.95

BellBeakerFranceI1388,0.00,0.00,2.30,0.00,59.39,21.76,0.81,0.00,7.46,0.00,8.28,0.00
IlergetesTribeCatalan_I3320,4.64,0.00,4.88,1.09,52.24,25.19,0.00,0.00,3.67,0.00,7.44,0.86
IlercavonesCatalan_I3321,3.80,0.00,4.55,0.00,55.48,25.14,0.00,0.83,2.20,0.32,7.68,0.00
BellBeakerSouthernFrance_I3874,5.77,0.32,0.81,0.47,39.46,40.05,1.07,0.56,0.80,0.00,10.47,0.22
IberianElArgarBronzeAge_I8136,0.00,0.00,4.83,0.00,61.85,21.67,1.21,0.00,3.88,0.00,6.07,0.49

When you say 'I don't remember anyone getting good matches with them', did you mean forum members or Iron Age Italian samples? Anyway, my family gets a distance between 2 and 5 for NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_78 and BellBeakerSouthernFrance_I3874 and generally good matches with all the AITI samples from Kleinaitingen (EBA Bavaria, contemporaneous to the Unetice culture to the east).

As for Iron Age Italians, my closest match (R435 Latin from Praeneste) is also close to those AITI samples. EBA Bavaria is part of the Tumulus culture, which is ancestral to the Urnfield and Hallstatt cultures, so it's not surprising to find a connection with Italics too.

Distance to:R435__Iron_Age_____Palestrina_Colombella
4.63867438NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_43
6.60470287NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
8.59178678NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_119
 
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When you say 'I don't remember anyone getting good matches with them', did you mean forum members or Iron Age Italian samples? Anyway, my family gets a distance between 2 and 5 for NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_78 and BellBeakerSouthernFrance_I3874 and generally good matches with all the AITI samples from Kleinaitingen (EBA Bavaria, contemporaneous to the Unetice culture to the east).

As for Iron Age Italians, my closest match (R435 Latin from Praeneste) is also close to those AITI samples. EBA Bavaria is part of the Tumulus culture, which is ancestral to the Urnfield and Hallstatt cultures, so it's not surprising to find a connection with Italics too.

Distance to:R435__Iron_Age_____Palestrina_Colombella
4.63867438NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_43
6.60470287NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
8.59178678NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_119

Sorry, I meant that I didn't remember other posters getting them, and certainly not British Bronze Age, at good fits. I get Bavaria BB, for example, but it's not a great match, much worse than Balkan Bronze Age. Torzio has since posted and he's at about a 7, if I remember correctly. No Piemontese or Lombards have posted, so I don't know if they'd do better.

That prompted me to run Jovialis' whole list of Balkan samples, plus the Iberian Bronze, British Bronze, and German North Alpine Bronze for the more "northern" Italian Iron Age samples. I posted the following on the Iron Age thread.


Did you include these, Jovialis? I ask because of a discussion I'm having with Ygorcs about whether there was a British Bronze Age or Iberian or North Alpine pull in these samples.


Just for the heck of it I added them. (If some are post Iron Age, please let me know and I'll remove them.)

NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120,7.59,0.73,0.40 ,0.00,39.57,31.32,1.80,0.00,0.00,0.00,17.73,0.86
NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72,4.56,0. 00,0.00,0.00,42.85,31.92,0.69,0.89,2.30,0.31,16.30 ,0.19
NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_119,9.54,1.40,0.00 ,0.27,43.57,32.66,0.11,0.14,0.20,0.00,11.08,1.01
NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_78,10.50,0.54,0.54 ,0.00,39.10,37.12,0.00,0.35,2.04,0.00,9.53,0.28
NorthAlpineSouthDutch_AITI_50,10.70,0.00,0.00,0.00 ,35.87,44.30,2.23,0.13,0.00,0.00,4.95,1.82
NorthAlpineSouthDutch_AITI_2,5.63,0.00,0.00,0.00,4 0.44,41.78,1.83,0.00,1.04,0.00,8.28,0.99
CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239,0.00,0.00,2.63,2.34,44. 59,28.94,2.32,0.66,0.00,0.00,18.51,0.00
IberianSettlementCataloniaSpain_I3496,5.38,0.21,0. 75,0.00,53.63,28.85,1.92,1.72,5.92,0.00,1.63,0.00
CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3243,8.87,0.00,2.93,4.86,36. 62,38.06,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,8.67,0.00
ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977,2.96,0.00,2.41,0.00,5 2.45,25.53,0.60,0.00,3.19,0.00,12.86,0.00
IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9,0.89,0.00,1.25,0.00,58.14,21. 43,0.49,0.00,4.69,0.00,11.18,1.93
BellBeakerFranceI1388,0.00,0.00,2.30,0.00,59.39,21 .76,0.81,0.00,7.46,0.00,8.28,0.00
IlergetesTribeCatalan_I3320,4.64,0.00,4.88,1.09,52 .24,25.19,0.00,0.00,3.67,0.00,7.44,0.86
IlercavonesCatalan_I3321,3.80,0.00,4.55,0.00,55.48 ,25.14,0.00,0.83,2.20,0.32,7.68,0.00
BellBeakerSouthernFrance_I3874,5.77,0.32,0.81,0.47 ,39.46,40.05,1.07,0.56,0.80,0.00,10.47,0.22
IberianElArgarBronzeAge_I8136,0.00,0.00,4.83,0.00, 61.85,21.67,1.21,0.00,3.88,0.00,6.07,0.49
BronzeAgeSpainCogotas_I12208,1.39,0.00,5.31,0.43,5 4.53,22.97,1.16,0.00,3.96,0.94,8.35,0.95
Bavaria_BB_II5524,2.95,0.00,1.28,1.77,41.61,28.76, 0.00,0.00,3.52,0.00,20.12,0.00
BronzeAgeEngland_I2462,8.52,1.12,1.18,0.00,45.45,3 3.73,0.00,0.00,2.08,0.00,6.90,1.02
BronzeAgeOuterHebrides_I2655,9.88,0.61,0.00,0.39,3 7.20,45.77,0.76,0.00,0.29,0.00,4.27,0.82
NeolithicScotland_I2634,0.00,0.00,6.63,1.42,60.56, 11.65,0.00,0.21,7.56,0.00,11.96,0.00


Same samples:

R473 Etruscan
Distance to:R473_Iron_Age_Civitavecchia
5.23807216I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
7.33017053I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
7.88686249I1113_Malak_Preslavets
8.15739542I2111_Trypillia
8.17621551I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
8.33299466I2215_Malak_Preslavets
8.84239786I1297_Malak_Preslavets
9.36587423I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
9.46015856Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.83392089I3151_Trypillia
10.07499380Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.18056482I2110_Trypillia
10.61650131Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.62080505I1926_Trypillia
10.62551175ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
10.84815192CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
11.21283639I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.59367931I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
12.06694245I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
12.55335015I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
12.55979299NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
13.34862165I1295_Malak_Preslavets
14.53531217I2440_Globular_Amphora
14.54483757IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9


Bavaria BB did show up, but at a further distance than the Balkan samples. Same for the Spanish samples which show up.

R474 Etruscan...This one has good hits to the German BB and North Alpine samples
Distance to:R474_Iron_Age_Civitavecchia
5.74122809I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
6.77580991Bavaria_BB_II5524
8.72072818NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
9.30280603NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
9.65161126I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.61332653I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.90744700I1113_Malak_Preslavets
11.18787737I2215_Malak_Preslavets
11.81452496I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
11.82549788CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
12.33373423I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
12.54336877I2165_Balkans_BronzeAge
12.68957840I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
13.05530161Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.21538876NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_119
14.00343886I2111_Trypillia
14.45190299I2181_Balkans_Chalcolithic_outlier
14.92140074I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
15.52350798ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
15.70083756NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_78
16.12808730I3151_Trypillia
16.32355047BronzeAgeEngland_I2462
16.50133328I1297_Malak_Preslavets
16.56924561Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
17.55443819BellBeakerSouthernFrance_I3874


R1015 Etruscan-more Balkan Bronze Age heavy
Distance to:R1015_Iron_Age_Veio_Grotta_Gramiccia
5.90466765I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
7.39762124I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
7.71334558I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
8.13312363I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
8.35159266I2215_Malak_Preslavets
8.37548805I2111_Trypillia
8.72612743I3151_Trypillia
9.37365457I2110_Trypillia
9.64178925Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.76218725I1113_Malak_Preslavets
9.95499874Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.42357424CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
10.52312216I1297_Malak_Preslavets
10.70558733ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
10.72228520I1926_Trypillia
11.05433851I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
11.10513395Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.40769915I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.85190702I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
11.99557418I1295_Malak_Preslavets
12.39624540I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
13.15312510NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
14.56524631ANI160_Varna_Outlier
14.83928570I4088_Balkans_Chalcolithic
14.89781192IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9


R1016 Roman-the only upper class sample-again, closer to Bronze Age Balkans
Distance to:R1016_Iron_Age_Castel_di_Decima
7.35068024I3151_Trypillia
8.76047373I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
9.09492716I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
9.45085710I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
9.68979876I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.22361971I2110_Trypillia
10.45816906Bavaria_BB_II5524
10.55012322I2215_Malak_Preslavets
10.69418534Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.99995000CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
11.07581148I2111_Trypillia
11.10573726I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
11.18283506ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
11.73281296I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
11.86617040I1926_Trypillia
11.93298370I1113_Malak_Preslavets
11.95698122I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
12.09002895I1295_Malak_Preslavets
12.25331384I1297_Malak_Preslavets
12.57254549I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
13.06662925Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.48874716NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
14.70167337ANI160_Varna_Outlier
14.73282050NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
15.32862681IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9


Boville Ernica-Bavarian BB and a Spanish sample show up relatively early
Distance to:R1021_Iron_Age_Boville_Ernica
6.69770856I3151_Trypillia
7.95362182CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
8.44269507Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.72555911I2215_Malak_Preslavets
9.81126393I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.30931133I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
10.38576911I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.45481229I1113_Malak_Preslavets
10.87415284ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
11.41484998I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.43899034I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
11.56217540NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
12.04413965I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
12.20604768I2110_Trypillia
12.28929209I1297_Malak_Preslavets
12.79157535Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.04577326I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
13.36867982NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
13.42683879I2111_Trypillia
14.22975755I1926_Trypillia
14.38184967I1295_Malak_Preslavets
14.64225392Bul6_Balkans_BronzeAge
14.87163407I9123_Bronze_Age_Armenoi_Crete
16.00559902IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9
16.21570535IlergetesTribeCatalan_I3320


Distance to:R851_Iron_Age_Ardea
7.12745396I3151_Trypillia
7.74215732CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
8.31362737I2215_Malak_Preslavets
8.37911093ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
8.94475265I1113_Malak_Preslavets
8.99763302Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.73866521I1297_Malak_Preslavets
10.11018299I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
10.14648708I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
10.83610631NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
11.57587146I1979_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
11.68067207I2110_Trypillia
11.81369967I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge
12.75417971I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
12.96713538I2175_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.14383886I1926_Trypillia
13.18246183I2111_Trypillia
13.56668346IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9
13.62619169NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
13.98647919BronzeAgeSpainCogotas_I12208
14.07380901Bul10_Balkans_BronzeAge
14.10845137IlergetesTribeCatalan_I3320
14.47627369I0706_Balkans_Neolithic
14.57562692IlercavonesCatalan_I3321
14.86646226I2440_Globular_Amphora


Distance to:R435_Iron_Age_Palestrina_Colombella
2.14441134I2478_Bronze_Age_Beaker_Northern_Italy
6.60470287NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
6.79479212ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
6.97894691I1113_Malak_Preslavets
7.11525825I2215_Malak_Preslavets
8.59178678NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_119
9.01150931I1297_Malak_Preslavets
9.15171569Bavaria_BB_II5524
9.40140947CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
9.51282292BronzeAgeEngland_I2462
9.63494162IlergetesTribeCatalan_I3320
10.53571070NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
11.23877217I2181_Balkans_Chalcolithic_outlier
11.64855356IlercavonesCatalan_I3321
12.15553783BronzeAgeSpainCogotas_I12208
12.23966911I2520_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.58203961I4331_Balkans_BronzeAge
13.76760691NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_78
13.82287597IberianSettlementCataloniaSpain_I3496
13.98864540IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9
14.33947349I3151_Trypillia
14.60477319BellBeakerSouthernFrance_I3874
14.91302116I2111_Trypillia
15.69331705I2440_Globular_Amphora
15.79126974I2176_Balkans_BronzeAge


From what I can see there's a mixture of Balkan Bronze Age on the one side, and North Alpine/German BB/French/Iberian Bronze Age on the other, so a sort of west/east continuum, with some samples leaning more one way than the other, but having hits to both.

That makes sense to me given Italy's "Central Med" position geographically.

However, I couldn't really make a determination as to whether Etruscans on average are more one than the other than the Latins. Now, whether that's because there were originally two streams into Italy from the north which then mixed, or because it was one mixed group originally and it was a matter of individual variation in not completely stable populations, I don't know.

I had previously thought that perhaps the Etruscans had a more "western" origin, partly on the basis of data in Cassidy et al, but that doesn't appear in the data we have so far.

c8c908bc3ab71990c98674d78c660f01.jpg
 
Ygorcs: Fair enough but I guess I am trying to reconcile Lazaradis et al (2016) "Genomic insights into the Origin of Farming in the ancient Near East" when the authors state early Bronze Age Steppe peoples had 43% CHG/Iranian Neolithic related ancestry. As those peoples moved Westward, they would have encountered other peoples already in the areas they migrated through so I am wondering with respect to the peoples who would bring in the Latin Language, how could they be modeled with respect to EEF, CHG/Iranian-related ancestry, EHG, WHG, etc. I don't think they were EHG exclusively like the Samara peoples who went to the Nothern Baltics, Scandinavia, etc and thus had some admixture with CHG. So I guess what you are suggesting is the only source of CHG and Iranian Neolithic ancestry in Italy is via the expansion of the Early European Farmers from Anatolia, and none entered via the Steppe?

Thanks for the response.
 
can you tell me more about these Progress-related people?

Basically my idea, considering the available aDNA samples, is that in the Eneolithic you had Sredny Stog-like in the west, Khvalynsk-like in the northeast and Progress-like in the southeast of the Pontic-Caspian steppe. Progress-like people already had a lot of CHG (~40-50%) similar to the bulk of the Yamnaya, whereas it was pretty minor in Sredny Stog and significant but still minor in Khvalynsk. By the time of the Yamnaya and Corded Ware expansion, according to my own analysis (so take it with a grain of salt, of couse), the Yamnaya and Early CWC were mostly a mix of those 3 earlier populations in varying proportions (Early CWC seems to have had more Sredny Stog-like admixture, which might help explain the presence of R1a as opposed to R1b as the major haplogroup in that population). In my opinion Progress-like people expanded, mixed with Khvalynsk-like and eventually spread westwards (Late Khvalynsk/Early Repin), absorbing the Sredny Stog people of Ukraine.

From the Neolithic to the EBA (Yamnaya), the main change in Ukraine involved the near disappearance of WHG and the huge increase in the CHG. These two things do not suggest to me an influence from the north or northwest (Baltic area), but rather an influence from the south (Caucasus Piedmont, Caspian coast).
 
Basically my idea, considering the available aDNA samples, is that in the Eneolithic you had Sredny Stog-like in the west, Khvalynsk-like in the northeast and Progress-like in the southeast of the Pontic-Caspian steppe. Progress-like people already had a lot of CHG (~40-50%) similar to the bulk of the Yamnaya, whereas it was pretty minor in Sredny Stog and significant but still minor in Khvalynsk. By the time of the Yamnaya and Corded Ware expansion, according to my own analysis (so take it with a grain of salt, of couse), the Yamnaya and Early CWC were mostly a mix of those 3 earlier populations in varying proportions (Early CWC seems to have had more Sredny Stog-like admixture, which might help explain the presence of R1a as opposed to R1b as the major haplogroup in that population). In my opinion Progress-like people expanded, mixed with Khvalynsk-like and eventually spread westwards (Late Khvalynsk/Early Repin), absorbing the Sredny Stog people of Ukraine.

From the Neolithic to the EBA (Yamnaya), the main change in Ukraine involved the near disappearance of WHG and the huge increase in the CHG. These two things do not suggest to me an influence from the north or northwest (Baltic area), but rather an influence from the south (Caucasus Piedmont, Caspian coast).

Very persuasive, Ygorcs.
 
Basically my idea, considering the available aDNA samples, is that in the Eneolithic you had Sredny Stog-like in the west, Khvalynsk-like in the northeast and Progress-like in the southeast of the Pontic-Caspian steppe. Progress-like people already had a lot of CHG (~40-50%) similar to the bulk of the Yamnaya, whereas it was pretty minor in Sredny Stog and significant but still minor in Khvalynsk. By the time of the Yamnaya and Corded Ware expansion, according to my own analysis (so take it with a grain of salt, of couse), the Yamnaya and Early CWC were mostly a mix of those 3 earlier populations in varying proportions (Early CWC seems to have had more Sredny Stog-like admixture, which might help explain the presence of R1a as opposed to R1b as the major haplogroup in that population). In my opinion Progress-like people expanded, mixed with Khvalynsk-like and eventually spread westwards (Late Khvalynsk/Early Repin), absorbing the Sredny Stog people of Ukraine.

From the Neolithic to the EBA (Yamnaya), the main change in Ukraine involved the near disappearance of WHG and the huge increase in the CHG. These two things do not suggest to me an influence from the north or northwest (Baltic area), but rather an influence from the south (Caucasus Piedmont, Caspian coast).

now, I remember all of a sudden

you refer to the samples found on the Porgress site as described in the Wang papre?
 
R116 the "outlier" with high Steppe dated to 0-200 CE. Maybe he was a Gallic immigrant to Rome?:

(this sample has the highest level of Steppe admixture out of all Imperial samples, so not "typical")

His Y-DNA haplogroup: https://www.yfull.com/tree/J-Z631/

K36 results:

Arabian 0.67
Armenian 0.63
Basque 5.90
Central_Euro 3.24
East_Balkan 6.25
East_Central_Euro 3.07
East_Med 0.02
Eastern_Euro 3.92
Fennoscandian 4.08
French 7.39
Iberian 25.17
Italian 16.47
Near_Eastern 0.74
North_Atlantic 7.52
North_Sea 12.29
Volga-Ural 1.36
West_Med 1.29

https://gen3553.pagesperso-orange.fr/ADN/similitude.htm

9y6eJMs.png

Haven't been around for a long time, I come back and this interesting study takes my attention.

The fact that we barely have any prior to 0 CE and that the authors mention this eastern influx into Romans as Iranian_Neolithic rather than CHG makes not only me wonder that the source of Latin Indo European might be really different. And goes hand in hand with my previous theory that the Steppes was the source for most European Indo European languages but not all.

The most recent literature demonstrated significant impact of Caucasus-related ancestry in the Central European Late-Neolithic and Bronze-Age through the migrations of Yamnaya/Pontic-Steppe herders. Accordingly, our results confirm that Caucasus-related admixture via Yamnaya is present in Eastern and Central-Western European clusters (i.e. Continental Europe; Supplementary Table S8, Supplementary Information). However, among our Mediterranean groups, evidence of Yamnaya (and EHG) introgression seems to be present at a lesser extent and was detected mainly in Balkan-related groups (Supplementary Table S8, Supplementary Information), which in turn display traces of admixture with Eastern Europe (Fig. 4, Supplementary Fig. S2). In addition, outgroup-f3 values for Late Neolithic/Bronze Age samples (especially Yamnaya) appear lower in all our newly analysed Mediterranean populations (Supplementary Fig. S9). These results suggest that the genetic history of Southern Italian and Balkan populations may have been, at least in part, independent from that of Eastern and Central Europe, involving specific migratory events that carried Caucasian and Levantine genetic contributes along the Mediterranean shores (see Supplementary Information). This picture may bring important implications for our understanding of the cultural history of Europe, and in particular for the diffusion of Indo-European languages. The Steppe in the Early Bronze Age has been supported as a source of at least some Indo-European languages entering North-Central Europe at that time. In southern Mediterranean Europe, however, our results suggest lower impacts. Any significant Steppe/northern component may have arrived in the south Balkan mainland and southern Italy only later, by which time Indo-European languages of the Italic, Greek and various Balkan branches had already established themselves there. This would suggest that a Bronze Age Steppe source may be not highly consistent with all branches of the Indo-European family (see also Broushaki et al.).



Summing it up, our analyses show that a Caucasus-related ancestry is observed in both Southern Italian and Southern Balkan populations. Nevertheless, these populations do not seem to reveal such significant evidence of Bronze-Age Yamanya-like introgressions, which have been interpreted as the most probable vectors of CHG-like ancestry in Central-Eastern and Northern Europe and were also linked with the demographic diffusion of some Indo-European languages. These results may suggest that Caucasus-related ancestry reached our Mediterranean populations through migratory events at least partly independent from those postulated for Central Europe, most likely through Anatolia. If so, the spread of Indo-European languages in Europe may be envisaged as a more complex multi-way phenomenon, rather than the one-way result of a single diffusion process.


Also as Angela correctly pointed out that "tail" is called Levantine tail not Near Eastern per se. It represents Levant_Neo_BA type of ancestry during the very early stages of Rome. And I am not suprised to be honest we know that before Rome the Civilizations were based around the Near East and those people were probably something like pioneers bringing important goods and ideas into the Italian Peninsula. However the Iran_Neolithic genes seem to be more ancient. We already see allot of it during the late Neolithic but also a rise of it back again at Iron Age. EHG on the other hand appears more sporadic when Rome has been established, makes you wonder if those , with the vocabulary of Polako, were not "immigrant outliers" .
 
based on post # 808

Distance to:Torziok12b
7.89459942Bavaria_BB_II5524
8.87062568NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_120
10.55301379NorthAlpineBronzeAgeSpanishGalicia_AITI_72
13.52289540CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3239
15.06901457NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_119
15.97685201NorthAlpineBronzeAgeFrench_AITI_78
17.33912339BellBeakerSouthernFrance_I3874
17.88934599CuevadelaPalomaSpain_I3243
18.57029887BronzeAgeEngland_I2462
19.37494258ElSotilloBasqueCountry_I1977
20.13756440NorthAlpineSouthDutch_AITI_2
22.04581366IlergetesTribeCatalan_I3320
24.12289369NorthAlpineSouthDutch_AITI_50
24.25831198BronzeAgeSpainCogotas_I12208
24.66223834IlercavonesCatalan_I3321
25.34179354BronzeAgeOuterHebrides_I2655
26.10284276IberiaBronzeAge_ATP9
26.46820923IberianSettlementCataloniaSpain_I3496
28.42436631BellBeakerFranceI1388
31.73002994IberianElArgarBronzeAge_I8136
32.26507245NeolithicScotland_I2634
 
Imperial Rome based on 24 samples from Antonio et al:


29.1 % J2a-M410 7
20.8 % G2a2 5
16.6 % J1a 4
8.3 % R1b 2
4.1 % J2b-M241 1
4.1 % J2b-M205 1
4.1 % T1a 1
4.1 % R1a 1
4.1 % R2a 1
4.1 % E1b-v12 1

J1a Doesn't look Semitic

A surprise to see no J1c3 subclades since the Levant was pretty much Semitic by majority at that time.

J1a, J2a2, J2b, R1b, R2a. In fact this looks more like How Anatolia-Iranian Plateau influence would have looked like.
 
J1a Doesn't look Semitic

A surprise to see no J1c3 subclades since the Levant was pretty much Semitic by majority at that time.

J1a, J2a2, J2b, R1b, R2a. In fact this looks more like How Anatolia-Iranian Plateau influence would have looked like.

Not everyone buried in Rome was a "local" or stayed and mixed their genes with locals. However, some obviously did, and indeed, going by yDna it doesn't look like a very big "Semitic" component. Anatolia/Iran is another story, whether directly or via Greece and its islands and settlements in Asia Minor or both.

Also, for clarity, there are two Latin Iron Age samples with this kind of ancestry. R850 is Cretan like, and R437 has perhaps half of that kind of ancestry.
 
However the Iran_Neolithic genes seem to be more ancient. We already see allot of it during the late Neolithic but also a rise of it back again at Iron Age. EHG on the other hand appears more sporadic when Rome has been established, makes you wonder if those , with the vocabulary of Polako, were not "immigrant outliers" .
Are you saying that those North-West Med looking Latins are immigrants?
 

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