Statistics of 06/04/2020
SPEAD OF VIRUS
@bigsnake69
I added 2 coloumns so to compare the mortality and Recovery raise
Notice
1rst is booming of Infection, the data are only confirmed cases
2nd is the booming of deaths, (the average Delay as calculated by Crete University on Greek samples is 7-14 days after infection, the day entered the samples gathering)
3rd is the booming of recovered, (the delay is at least 21 days + 3 days at least to do second test plus the time that doctor estimates to be secure)
4rth, some countries like Norway for example who had big spread from 3 MAR, do not report massive recovered cases yet, although more than a month under infection, the delay there is bigger
to extract estimation the column Active% can tell us how exactly could be,
above 68,1 % the statistical mistake is 'big'
for example for Spain and Swiss we can estimate with a mistake of second class number, even for Italy,
but not for USA, the mistake could be above 1 unit even 2 of first class number
| COUNTRY | Population /1000 | Confirmed infected | deaths upon confirmed | recover | Active % | Confirmed infected /1000 people | Current Mortality of conf. | Mortality 3 APR | Recover rate of conf. | Recover 3 APR | Estimated mortality up lim | Estimated mortality low lim | estimated deaths * |
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1 | San Marino | 33 | 266 | 32 | 35 | 74,81 | 8,0606 | 0,1203 | 0,1224 | 0,1316 | 0,0857 |
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2 | Andora | 76 | 525 | 21 | 31 | 90,10 | 6,9079 | 0,0400 | 0,0280 | 0,0590 | 0,0234 |
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3 | Luxenbourg | 614 | 2843 | 41 | 500 | 80,97 | 4,6303 | 0,0144 | 0,0121 | 0,1759 | 0,0322 |
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4 | Iceland | 364 | 1562 | 6 | 460 | 70,17 | 4,2912 | 0,0038 | 0,0030 | 0,2945 | 0,2153 |
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5 | Feroe isls | 52 | 183 | 0 | 107 | 41,53 | 3,5192 | 0,0000 | 0,0000 | 0,5847 | 0,5084 |
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6 | Spain | 46733 | 136675 | 13341 | 40437 | 60,65 | 2,9246 | 0,0976 | 0,0923 | 0,2959 | 0,2386 |
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7 | Swiss | 8570 | 21657 | 765 | 8056 | 59,27 | 2,5271 | 0,0353 | 0,0285 | 0,3720 | 0,2132 |
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8 | Italy | 60318 | 132547 | 16523 | 22837 | 70,30 | 2,1975 | 0,1247 | 0,1207 | 0,1723 | 0,1586 |
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9 | Liechtenstein | 39 | 77 | 1 | 55 | 27,27 | 1,9744 | 0,0130 | 0,0000 | 0,7143 | 0,0000 |
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10 | Belgium | 11516 | 20814 | 1632 | 3986 | 73,01 | 1,8074 | 0,0784 | 0,0659 | 0,1915 | 0,1626 |
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11 | France | 67022 | 98010 | 8911 | 17250 | 73,31 | 1,4624 | 0,0909 | 0,0911 | 0,1760 | 0,2103 |
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12 | Austria | 8903 | 12297 | 220 | 3563 | 69,24 | 1,3812 | 0,0179 | 0,0141 | 0,2897 | 0,1562 |
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13 | EU | 449507 | 578836 | 46113 | 121011 | 72,42 | 1,2877 | 0,0797 | 0,0756 | 0,2692 | 0,1905 |
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14 | Deutch | 83149 | 103374 | 1810 | 28700 | 70,49 | 1,2432 | 0,0175 | 0,0131 | 0,2776 | 0,2699 |
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15 | Portugal | 10277 | 11730 | 311 | 140 | 96,16 | 1,1414 | 0,0265 | 0,0231 | 0,0119 | 0,0075 |
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16 | USA | 328240 | 368196 | 10986 | 19828 | 91,63 | 1,1217 | 0,0298 | 0,0247 | 0,0539 | 0,0376 |
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17 | Norway | 5368 | 5865 | 76 | 32 | 98,16 | 1,0926 | 0,0130 | 0,0096 | 0,0055 | 0,0061 |
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18 | Netherlands | 17425 | 18803 | 1867 | 250 | 88,74 | 1,0791 | 0,0993 | 0,0911 | 0,0133 | 0,0170 |
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19 | Esthonia | 1328 | 1108 | 19 | 62 | 92,69 | 0,8343 | 0,0171 | 0,0128 | 0,0560 | 0,0524 |
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20 | Ireland | 6573 | 5364 | 174 | 25 | 96,29 | 0,8161 | 0,0324 | 0,0255 | 0,0047 | 0,0013 |
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21 | Denmark | 5823 | 4681 | 187 | 1378 | 66,57 | 0,8039 | 0,0399 | 0,0363 | 0,2944 | 0,3216 |
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22 | UK | 67547 | 51608 | 5373 | 135 | 89,33 | 0,7640 | 0,1041 | 0,0866 | 0,0026 | 0,0040 |
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23 | sweden | 10303 | 7206 | 477 | 205 | 90,54 | 0,6994 | 0,0662 | 0,0553 | 0,0284 | 0,0185 |
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24 | Malta | 494 | 241 | 0 | 5 | 97,93 | 0,4879 | 0,0000 | 0,0000 | 0,0207 | 0,0102 |
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25 | Slovenia | 2100 | 1021 | 30 | 102 | 87,07 | 0,4862 | 0,0294 | 0,0190 | 0,0999 | 0,0780 |
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26 | Czech | 10650 | 4822 | 78 | 121 | 95,87 | 0,4528 | 0,0162 | 0,0119 | 0,0251 | 0,0184 |
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27 | Finland | 5521 | 2176 | 27 | 300 | 84,97 | 0,3941 | 0,0124 | 0,0118 | 0,1379 | 0,1858 |
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28 | Cyprus | 1189 | 465 | 9 | 45 | 88,39 | 0,3911 | 0,0194 | 0,0281 | 0,0968 | 0,0787 |
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29 | Montenegro | 631 | 233 | 2 | 1 | 98,71 | 0,3693 | 0,0086 | 0,0125 | 0,0043 | 0,0000 |
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30 | Turkey | 82004 | 30217 | 649 | 1326 | 93,46 | 0,3685 | 0,0215 | 0,0196 | 0,0439 | 0,0229 |
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31 | Moldova | 2682 | 965 | 19 | 37 | 94,20 | 0,3598 | 0,0197 | 0,0119 | 0,0383 | 0,0455 |
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32 | Serbia | 6964 | 2200 | 58 | 0 | 97,36 | 0,3159 | 0,0264 | 0,0265 | 0,0000 | 0,0000 |
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33 | Lithuania | 2794 | 843 | 15 | 8 | 97,27 | 0,3017 | 0,0178 | 0,0129 | 0,0095 | 0,0101 |
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34 | Croatia | 4076 | 1222 | 16 | 130 | 88,05 | 0,2998 | 0,0131 | 0,0069 | 0,1064 | 0,0178 |
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35 | Lettonia | 1920 | 542 | 1 | 16 | 96,86 | 0,2823 | 0,0018 | 0,0000 | 0,0295 | 0,0629 |
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36 | Severna Mac | 2077 | 570 | 23 | 30 | 90,70 | 0,2744 | 0,0404 | 0,0286 | 0,0286 | 0,0443 |
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37 | Romania | 19402 | 4057 | 176 | 406 | 85,65 | 0,2091 | 0,0434 | 0,0424 | 0,1001 | 0,0975 |
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38 | Bosnia | 3511 | 674 | 29 | 47 | 88,72 | 0,1920 | 0,0430 | 0,0295 | 0,0697 | 0,0497 |
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39 | Greece | 10768 | 1755 | 79 | 269 | 80,17 | 0,1630 | 0,0450 | 0,0343 | 0,1533 | 0,0395 |
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40 | Albania | 2877 | 377 | 21 | 116 | 63,66 | 0,1310 | 0,0557 | 0,0578 | 0,3077 | 0,2744 |
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41 | Poland | 38386 | 4413 | 107 | 162 | 93,90 | 0,1150 | 0,0242 | 0,0193 | 0,0367 | 0,0190 |
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42 | Slovakia | 5450 | 534 | 2 | 8 | 98,13 | 0,0980 | 0,0037 | 0,0023 | 0,0150 | 0,0117 |
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43 | Kossovo | 1810 | 145 | 1 | 23 | 83,45 | 0,0801 | 0,0069 | 0,0079 | 0,1586 | 0,0794 |
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44 | Bulgaria | 7000 | 549 | 22 | 39 | 88,89 | 0,0784 | 0,0401 | 0,0252 | 0,0710 | 0,0629 |
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45 | Hungary | 9773 | 744 | 38 | 67 | 85,89 | 0,0761 | 0,0511 | 0,0417 | 0,0901 | 0,0690 |
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46 | Belarus | 9492 | 700 | 13 | 53 | 90,57 | 0,0737 | 0,0186 | 0,0132 | 0,0757 | 0,1743 |
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47 | mainland China | 1427648 | 82655 | 3335 | 77310 | 2,43 | 0,0579 | 0,0403 | 0,0403 | 0,9353 | 0,9306 |
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48 | Russia | 146745 | 6343 | 47 | 406 | 92,86 | 0,0432 | 0,0074 | 0,0082 | 0,0640 | 0,0677 |
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49 | Ukraine | 42031 | 1319 | 38 | 28 | 95,00 | 0,0314 | 0,0288 | 0,0244 | 0,0212 | 0,0202 |
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