In Finland, Russia, Estonia, Poland, Austria and eastern Germany there is EHG ancestry that can be distinguished from WHG today.
It is possible to model countries in western Europe with only WHG, Yamnaya and Anatolia Barcin, but if you try to do the same thing in the east, the distances widen and the model gets worse.
Target: Irish
Distance: 4.9374% / 0.04937387
49.8 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
36.4 Anatolia_Barcin_N
13.8 WHG
Target: French_Paris
Distance: 3.9803% / 0.03980288
47.0 Anatolia_Barcin_N
40.6 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
12.4 WHG
Target: Welsh
Distance: 4.4866% / 0.04486597
46.8 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
38.8 Anatolia_Barcin_N
14.4 WHG
Target: English
Distance: 4.7162% / 0.04716228
47.2 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
38.6 Anatolia_Barcin_N
14.2 WHG
Target: Norwegian
Distance: 4.8877% / 0.04887723
46.2 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
35.6 Anatolia_Barcin_N
13.2 WHG
5.0 RUS_Karelia_HG
( Note that in Norway EHG - RUS_Karelia_HG - is already starting to appear, but in low quantities.)
In the east, the quantities of EHG increase significantly - which does not happen in the west even in Ireland where Yamnaya ancestry is enormous.
Target: Russian_Kostroma
Distance: 5.4349% / 0.05434858
33.2 Anatolia_Barcin_N
30.2 RUS_Karelia_HG
28.0 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
5.6 WHG
3.0 Nganassan
Target: Estonian
Distance: 6.4167% / 0.06416713
32.0 Anatolia_Barcin_N
30.4 RUS_Karelia_HG
27.2 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
10.4 WHG
Target: Polisholish16
Distance: 4.6207% / 0.04620698
37.2 Anatolia_Barcin_N
28.6 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
24.4 RUS_Karelia_HG
9.8 WHG
To test the theory I checked if the Finns were closer to the Poles or the Norwegians.
Distance to: Finnish
0.02687788 Russian_Kostroma
0.03670159 Estonian
0.05559852 Polisholish16
0.06710421 Norwegian
0.07270481 Dutch
0.07965585 Irish
0.08040507 English
0.08168025 Welsh
0.10231534 French_Paris
No surprise. Countries with higher amounts of EHG are closer
Populations used as source:
Anatolia_Barcin_N,0.1175998,0.180118,0.0035312,-0.101158,0.0510443,-0.0483875,-0.0043582,-0.0069334,0.0362287,0.0807473,0.0079718,0.0118803,-0.0234545,0.0004691,-0.0419807,-0.0101913,0.0233091,0.0019866,0.0136954,-0.0097489,-0.0142249,0.0057723,-0.0041232,-0.0031658,-0.0043437
WHG,0.1246365,0.116278,0.184789,0.189279,0.1546445,0.0464355,0.0131605,0.0372675,0.0890705,0.017768,-0.0153455,-0.015811,0.0159065,-0.0030275,0.053338,0.0582065,0.00502,0.016343,-0.0093015,0.055589,0.0944585,0.0111905,-0.049607,-0.160866,0.0170045
GEO_CHG:KK1,0.091058,0.102568,-0.083344,-0.00323,-0.08617,0.020638,0.024911,-0.001846,-0.128236,-0.074717,-0.006333,0.023979,-0.054856,0.004404,0.026601,-0.03275,0.02386,-0.013429,-0.022249,0.034767,0.033815,-0.007048,0.006532,-0.025787,-0.002036
Yamnaya_RUS_Samara,0.1255849,0.089028,0.0426986,0.1153479,-0.0287232,0.0450564,0.0036033,-0.0025642,-0.0559032,-0.0728943,0.0018222,3.32e-05,-0.0026924,-0.0233041,0.0366141,0.0157633,-0.0012316,-0.0017879,-0.0038408,0.0137704,-0.0031749,0.0007557,0.0110649,0.0186102,-0.004537
MAR_Iberomaurusian,-0.189857,0.0814452,-0.0242866,-0.085595,0.027636,-0.0552202,-0.0705968,0.0184146,0.155397,0.003499,0.0209156,-0.0318316,0.0747168,-0.0513334,0.0711988,-0.0363032,0.0052676,-0.066106,-0.1424162,0.0389938,-0.0376836,-0.1255322,0.0730118,-0.0137606,0.0164534
Baltic_LTU_Narva,0.0116,0.0109,0.0478167,0.0570333,0.0389833,0.0188,0.0046,0.0124,0.0289833,-0.0104667,-0.0034,-0.0130167,0.0184167,0.0033167,0.024,0.03545,0.00275,0.0041833,-0.0051667,0.0349,0.0531667,0.00625,-0.0237333,-0.0946,0.0092333
IRN_Shahr_I_Sokhta_BA2:I11466,0.044391,-0.020311,-0.171213,0.076551,-0.104635,0.054105,0.010105,-0.010384,-0.00225,0.019499,-0.008282,0.014237,-0.007136,-0.012386,0.018187,0.026783,0.011865,0.010135,0.003017,-0.014632,0.00836,-0.013973,0.003081,-0.006266,0.008023
IRN_Ganj_Dareh_Historic:I1955,0.094473,0.111708,-0.053551,-0.027455,-0.044316,-0.003347,0.00376,-0.004384,-0.03027,-0.016037,0.004709,-0.004046,0.005649,0.008533,0.004072,-0.002121,-0.022948,-0.004434,0.005531,-0.009755,-0.002496,-0.002844,0.001849,-0.008194,-0.001796
RUS_Karelia_HG:I0211,0.12862,0.032497,0.125958,0.221902,0.003385,0.056057,-0.014571,-0.010615,0.007567,-0.084011,0.009581,-0.029674,0.047423,-0.018304,0.014794,0.041766,-0.020079,0.002154,-0.007668,0.003252,-0.01435,0.017188,0.005916,-0.027594,-0.00958
Dinka,-0.577083,0.0507765,-0.0003773,-0.0075098,-0.0053855,-0.0016735,-0.0176848,0.0204222,0.081145,-0.0969495,-0.02107,0.022742,-0.0383172,-0.0011698,0.0101452,-0.021347,0.0186125,-0.0094382,0.0241968,-0.0241678,0.002402,0.003308,0.001479,0.0009038,0.0096995
ETH_4500BP,-0.511066,0.043668,0.000754,0.000969,-0.00277,-0.011435,0.050997,-0.045229,0.089172,-0.087838,-0.012991,-0.002997,-0.031219,0.000688,0.02158,-0.029965,0.027772,0.039273,0.00176,-0.009004,0.000374,0.006183,-0.003451,-0.00241,-0.000838
Gambian,-0.6064875,0.0671942,0.0197362,0.0114665,0.0021028,0.0055777,-0.0358392,0.0387677,-0.0317353,0.0241463,0.0054132,-0.0036467,0.0162287,-0.0009865,0.011016,-0.0153362,0.009692,-0.0011823,-0.002116,-0.0032307,-0.001643,-0.0018137,0.0043958,-0.0001005,0.001377
Khomani_San,-0.6220435,0.060424,0.02093,0.030039,-0.0004615,0.000837,0.236773,-0.1823,0.0185095,0.0067425,0.00203,-0.053952,-0.0211845,0.005505,0.018797,-0.0212805,0.029662,0.2623085,-0.0877375,0.001751,-0.0331915,-0.002844,0.0038205,-0.0050005,0.0016765
Yoruba,-0.6300625,0.0625011,0.022113,0.0167079,0.0005035,0.0124741,-0.044417,0.0477673,-0.0488813,0.0327694,0.0046205,0.0007904,0.0230561,0.0009509,0.0125232,-0.0096067,0.0070763,0.0004491,0.006022,-0.00299,0.0015542,0.0023156,-0.0017592,-0.0004711,-0.0004246
Nganassan,0.0476917,-0.4066181,0.1557885,0.0023902,-0.1594452,-0.0882129,0.0285066,0.0433367,0.0310876,0.0128477,0.1028569,0.0094115,-0.0040734,-0.0261619,-0.0219731,-0.0123307,-0.0010952,0.0134165,0.0268365,-0.0008505,0.0431363,-0.0118954,0.0336096,0.0003977,0.0135556
Levant_Natufian:I0861,0.01935,0.135065,-0.039221,-0.135984,0.026774,-0.076137,-0.019036,-0.024691,0.100626,-0.008018,0.02858,-0.019633,0.067343,0.001651,0.022801,0.02612,-0.0103,0.006714,-0.018101,0.041395,-0.004118,-0.003215,-0.014297,-0.011206,0.011975
It is possible to model countries in western Europe with only WHG, Yamnaya and Anatolia Barcin, but if you try to do the same thing in the east, the distances widen and the model gets worse.
Target: Irish
Distance: 4.9374% / 0.04937387
49.8 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
36.4 Anatolia_Barcin_N
13.8 WHG
Target: French_Paris
Distance: 3.9803% / 0.03980288
47.0 Anatolia_Barcin_N
40.6 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
12.4 WHG
Target: Welsh
Distance: 4.4866% / 0.04486597
46.8 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
38.8 Anatolia_Barcin_N
14.4 WHG
Target: English
Distance: 4.7162% / 0.04716228
47.2 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
38.6 Anatolia_Barcin_N
14.2 WHG
Target: Norwegian
Distance: 4.8877% / 0.04887723
46.2 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
35.6 Anatolia_Barcin_N
13.2 WHG
5.0 RUS_Karelia_HG
( Note that in Norway EHG - RUS_Karelia_HG - is already starting to appear, but in low quantities.)
In the east, the quantities of EHG increase significantly - which does not happen in the west even in Ireland where Yamnaya ancestry is enormous.
Target: Russian_Kostroma
Distance: 5.4349% / 0.05434858
33.2 Anatolia_Barcin_N
30.2 RUS_Karelia_HG
28.0 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
5.6 WHG
3.0 Nganassan
Target: Estonian
Distance: 6.4167% / 0.06416713
32.0 Anatolia_Barcin_N
30.4 RUS_Karelia_HG
27.2 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
10.4 WHG
Target: Polisholish16
Distance: 4.6207% / 0.04620698
37.2 Anatolia_Barcin_N
28.6 Yamnaya_RUS_Samara
24.4 RUS_Karelia_HG
9.8 WHG
To test the theory I checked if the Finns were closer to the Poles or the Norwegians.
Distance to: Finnish
0.02687788 Russian_Kostroma
0.03670159 Estonian
0.05559852 Polisholish16
0.06710421 Norwegian
0.07270481 Dutch
0.07965585 Irish
0.08040507 English
0.08168025 Welsh
0.10231534 French_Paris
No surprise. Countries with higher amounts of EHG are closer
Populations used as source:
Anatolia_Barcin_N,0.1175998,0.180118,0.0035312,-0.101158,0.0510443,-0.0483875,-0.0043582,-0.0069334,0.0362287,0.0807473,0.0079718,0.0118803,-0.0234545,0.0004691,-0.0419807,-0.0101913,0.0233091,0.0019866,0.0136954,-0.0097489,-0.0142249,0.0057723,-0.0041232,-0.0031658,-0.0043437
WHG,0.1246365,0.116278,0.184789,0.189279,0.1546445,0.0464355,0.0131605,0.0372675,0.0890705,0.017768,-0.0153455,-0.015811,0.0159065,-0.0030275,0.053338,0.0582065,0.00502,0.016343,-0.0093015,0.055589,0.0944585,0.0111905,-0.049607,-0.160866,0.0170045
GEO_CHG:KK1,0.091058,0.102568,-0.083344,-0.00323,-0.08617,0.020638,0.024911,-0.001846,-0.128236,-0.074717,-0.006333,0.023979,-0.054856,0.004404,0.026601,-0.03275,0.02386,-0.013429,-0.022249,0.034767,0.033815,-0.007048,0.006532,-0.025787,-0.002036
Yamnaya_RUS_Samara,0.1255849,0.089028,0.0426986,0.1153479,-0.0287232,0.0450564,0.0036033,-0.0025642,-0.0559032,-0.0728943,0.0018222,3.32e-05,-0.0026924,-0.0233041,0.0366141,0.0157633,-0.0012316,-0.0017879,-0.0038408,0.0137704,-0.0031749,0.0007557,0.0110649,0.0186102,-0.004537
MAR_Iberomaurusian,-0.189857,0.0814452,-0.0242866,-0.085595,0.027636,-0.0552202,-0.0705968,0.0184146,0.155397,0.003499,0.0209156,-0.0318316,0.0747168,-0.0513334,0.0711988,-0.0363032,0.0052676,-0.066106,-0.1424162,0.0389938,-0.0376836,-0.1255322,0.0730118,-0.0137606,0.0164534
Baltic_LTU_Narva,0.0116,0.0109,0.0478167,0.0570333,0.0389833,0.0188,0.0046,0.0124,0.0289833,-0.0104667,-0.0034,-0.0130167,0.0184167,0.0033167,0.024,0.03545,0.00275,0.0041833,-0.0051667,0.0349,0.0531667,0.00625,-0.0237333,-0.0946,0.0092333
IRN_Shahr_I_Sokhta_BA2:I11466,0.044391,-0.020311,-0.171213,0.076551,-0.104635,0.054105,0.010105,-0.010384,-0.00225,0.019499,-0.008282,0.014237,-0.007136,-0.012386,0.018187,0.026783,0.011865,0.010135,0.003017,-0.014632,0.00836,-0.013973,0.003081,-0.006266,0.008023
IRN_Ganj_Dareh_Historic:I1955,0.094473,0.111708,-0.053551,-0.027455,-0.044316,-0.003347,0.00376,-0.004384,-0.03027,-0.016037,0.004709,-0.004046,0.005649,0.008533,0.004072,-0.002121,-0.022948,-0.004434,0.005531,-0.009755,-0.002496,-0.002844,0.001849,-0.008194,-0.001796
RUS_Karelia_HG:I0211,0.12862,0.032497,0.125958,0.221902,0.003385,0.056057,-0.014571,-0.010615,0.007567,-0.084011,0.009581,-0.029674,0.047423,-0.018304,0.014794,0.041766,-0.020079,0.002154,-0.007668,0.003252,-0.01435,0.017188,0.005916,-0.027594,-0.00958
Dinka,-0.577083,0.0507765,-0.0003773,-0.0075098,-0.0053855,-0.0016735,-0.0176848,0.0204222,0.081145,-0.0969495,-0.02107,0.022742,-0.0383172,-0.0011698,0.0101452,-0.021347,0.0186125,-0.0094382,0.0241968,-0.0241678,0.002402,0.003308,0.001479,0.0009038,0.0096995
ETH_4500BP,-0.511066,0.043668,0.000754,0.000969,-0.00277,-0.011435,0.050997,-0.045229,0.089172,-0.087838,-0.012991,-0.002997,-0.031219,0.000688,0.02158,-0.029965,0.027772,0.039273,0.00176,-0.009004,0.000374,0.006183,-0.003451,-0.00241,-0.000838
Gambian,-0.6064875,0.0671942,0.0197362,0.0114665,0.0021028,0.0055777,-0.0358392,0.0387677,-0.0317353,0.0241463,0.0054132,-0.0036467,0.0162287,-0.0009865,0.011016,-0.0153362,0.009692,-0.0011823,-0.002116,-0.0032307,-0.001643,-0.0018137,0.0043958,-0.0001005,0.001377
Khomani_San,-0.6220435,0.060424,0.02093,0.030039,-0.0004615,0.000837,0.236773,-0.1823,0.0185095,0.0067425,0.00203,-0.053952,-0.0211845,0.005505,0.018797,-0.0212805,0.029662,0.2623085,-0.0877375,0.001751,-0.0331915,-0.002844,0.0038205,-0.0050005,0.0016765
Yoruba,-0.6300625,0.0625011,0.022113,0.0167079,0.0005035,0.0124741,-0.044417,0.0477673,-0.0488813,0.0327694,0.0046205,0.0007904,0.0230561,0.0009509,0.0125232,-0.0096067,0.0070763,0.0004491,0.006022,-0.00299,0.0015542,0.0023156,-0.0017592,-0.0004711,-0.0004246
Nganassan,0.0476917,-0.4066181,0.1557885,0.0023902,-0.1594452,-0.0882129,0.0285066,0.0433367,0.0310876,0.0128477,0.1028569,0.0094115,-0.0040734,-0.0261619,-0.0219731,-0.0123307,-0.0010952,0.0134165,0.0268365,-0.0008505,0.0431363,-0.0118954,0.0336096,0.0003977,0.0135556
Levant_Natufian:I0861,0.01935,0.135065,-0.039221,-0.135984,0.026774,-0.076137,-0.019036,-0.024691,0.100626,-0.008018,0.02858,-0.019633,0.067343,0.001651,0.022801,0.02612,-0.0103,0.006714,-0.018101,0.041395,-0.004118,-0.003215,-0.014297,-0.011206,0.011975