The longer we demonise and antagonise Russia, the more irrelevant we will become in the world. By we I mean us Europeans. Russia is our neighbour and it is in all our interest to have a common security architecture and economic relationship to our mutual benefit. I don't care who's in power in Russia. That is the Russian people's business. I may not like whom they elect but it's none of business and I don't want anyone from the outside to meddle in my country's affairs either. This being said, I think you grossly misread Putin's policies and intentions. It's not your fault because that is the attitude of most Westerners, especially those who rely on mainstream media exclusively. Like Karl Marx said, the ruling ideas of our times are the ideas of the ruling class.
The notion that Putin is about to restore the Soviet Union or perhaps even the Russian Empire is the result of a decades long caricatural depiction of Russia and its current leader. It's like watching a bad Hollywood film from the 90s about some evil, vengeful Russians. Russia was in shambles after the collapse of the USSR. Millions of people lost everything overnight and died from poverty, disease and alcoholism. The country was hijacked by a small elite of oligarchs who were selling of Russia's assets to Western "investors", enriching themselves while millions were starving. Putin has put an end to that system. He has brought Russia back on track, increased the country's living standard and made sure that his country is a sovereign nation, not subservient to anyone, least of all the US. And this is why he is hated, why he's portrayed as the new Hitler. The time when Wall Street and the "City of London" could buy up Russia for peanuts is long gone. That's not some conspiracy. Putin was and still is the most Western-friendly Russian president to date. He has reached out his hand and has been working on a partnership spanning "from Lisbon to Vladivostok." But he wanted partnership while the West expected him to be its vassal.
To make sure Russia remains in check, a stringent policy of NATO expansion was pursued until the final red line was crossed with the intention to bring Ukraine and Georgia into the alliance which is not really an alliance but a remnant of the Cold War meant to maintain America's grip onEurope and to serve as its arms industry's most lucrative market. This is exactly what Europe has become now: an even bigger vassal than before, especially Germany. What do you call a country that lets its most expensive piece of energy infrastructure be blown up by an "ally"? A piece of infrastructure that was crucial to its industry and wealth.
The Russians marched into Ukraine because they had no choice. That was the West's only success in this regard. It lured the Russians into a costly war in which it's losing men and ressources, bitterly needed in a civilian economy because Russia has a demographics problem. But the Russians are tough, stubborn people and none of the intended effects have set in. The sanctions don't work, Russia has revived its industrial capacities, it has finally freed itself from Western goods flooding its market and now it's building a new world order along with the Chinese. Even during the fiercest periods of the Cold War, US presidents were wise enough to exploit the differences and conflicts between Russia and China, as Nixon successfully did. Today Russia and China are standing shoulder to shoulder and there's no turning back anymore except nuclear annihilation.
Putin's talk about Ukraine being part of Russian culture and history is the effect, not the cause. No rational leader, and Putin is the epitome of a rationally thinking strategist, would waste precious ressources on a costly war for such silly ideals as bringing back territories that are perceived as lost due to some historical injustices and wrongs. The reason for Russia's invasion is simple: NATO on Russia's border and Moscow and St. Petersburg as close targets. For ten years they've been watching Ukraine being turned into NATO's battering ram against Russia. Ukraine's army was brought up to NATO standards in every conceivable way. They have been digging large complex bunkers along the contact line in the Donbas, getting ready to invade the pro-Russian "people's republics" contrary to the Minsk agreements. Russian language and culture have been outlawed. Two days ago, a Ukrainian politician called Iryna Farion was assassinated on her way home in the city of Lvov. She was a fascist hatemonger who had led a campaign against not just ethnic Russians but Russian-speaking Ukrainians. Most of the Ukrainian army is composed of the latter. Zelensky himself is a Russian-speaking Ukrainian. It is speculated that she was murdered on the orders of the neo-Nazi Azov batallion because they have had enough of her calling them fake or lesser Ukrainians for speaking Russian. Imagine being a bigger Nazi than Azov.
This tells you how deeply divided Ukraine was to begin with. It has always been a very fragile country, especially since the break-up of the USSR. Well, it didn't even exist before the USSR. It is thanks to Lenin's pursuit of the policies of national equality that a Ukrainian state was formed. Today they're destroying his monuments and everything else that is reminiscent of Soviet history and culture. The people of Eastern Ukraine and Crimea begged to differ, so they split. They didn't want to be ruled by a regime that came to power through a US-backed coup d'etat in 2014 that outlawed their culture and language and that viewed them as second-class citizens or even subhumans. The West exploited Ukraine's internal weaknesses and contradictions to turn it into its proxy for the purpose of weakening Russia in the grand scheme of global power struggles. Nobody here cares about Ukraine or how many Ukrainians have died so far. It's all about bringing Russia back to the "good old" 90s which is obviously a pipe dream. Washington is slowly coming to terms with reality and passing the Ukrainian hot potato to the stupid Europeans, so it can get back to its "pivot to Asia" which is going to be the cornerstone of Trump's foreign policy.
And here's some bad news for Europeans:
"Following discussions ahead of the NATO Summit, the governments of the United States and Germany released the following joint statement:
The United States will begin episodic deployments of the long-range fires capabilities of its Multi-Domain Task Force in Germany in 2026, as part of planning for enduring stationing of these capabilities in the future. When fully developed, these conventional long-range fires units will include SM-6, Tomahawk, and developmental hypersonic weapons, which have significantly longer range than current land-based fires in Europe. Exercising these advanced capabilities will demonstrate the United States’ commitment to NATO and its contributions to European integrated deterrence."
Following discussions ahead of the NATO Summit, the governments of the United States and Germany released the following joint statement: The United States
www.whitehouse.gov
The Russians are going to do the same, of course. So 2026 may very well be a turning point. For those who survive. The New START Treaty (strategic nuclear disarmament) expires in February 2026. There are no ongoing negotiations about its renewal. In fact, there is no diplomatic communication at all. We have crossed the threshold from which there is no return. Russia will not conclude its military operation in Ukraine until all its objectives are realised. Too many Russians have died too and too many ressources spent. A new economic reality has been established, new alliances forged and a new vision of the future of Russia and the world implemented. It doesn't matter who's president in the US. Trump can call Putin and cut a deal but his call won't mean a thing except in respect to averting a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO. The future of Ukraine, whatever is left of it, will be decided on the battlefield. It didn't have to be so if the Ukrainians hadn't pulled out of the peace negotiations in Turkey in the spring of 2022. There are no deals to be made now until the conclusion of the war. Trump will write off Ukraine just like the US pulled out of Afghanistan. The EU better wake up and realise that its future may resemble that of Ukraine if it continues on the path of blind vassalage to the US. But considering who has been reelected as the president of the EU Commission and who has been appointed as High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, the fanatically Russophobic Kaja Kallas, the EU's own Annalena Baerbock, things are looking pretty bad.