See
Anthrogenica thread posts from page 332 onward as we already have G25 coordinates. He possibly was some mixed sample, not close to the contemporary Croats and Hungarians as paper suggested which only shows how much the paper was shallow in analysis and conclusions.
Target: ZEM23Distance: 1.8924% / 0.01892436 | ADC: 0.25x RC
26.2 Slovakian
23.4 Romanian
22.4 Spanish_Soria
10.2 Tajik_Yagnobi
9.0 Tajik_Shugnan
5.2 Norwegian
3.6 Tunisian_Rbaya
zem23_sc.txt
-------------- ANCESTRY BREAKDOWN: -------------
27.221% Celtiberian
18.694% Greek
15.365% EastGermanic
14.802% Alanic
14.691% Baltic
3.610% Levantine
1.287% LateGermanic
1.248% Nepal
1.175% Canarian
0.782% Pakistani
0.676% NorthAmerica
0.450% Ugric
------------------------------------------------
Fit error: 0.01403928673197701
This sample has only 15% of Baltic and so much western European and Asian. Very different from modern Croatians.
View attachment 12869
The Slovak is more likely a proxy for local Pannonian BA/IA ancestry.
Now when I think again about it, I think you're right. It's MOSTLY just Pannonian BA/IA ancestry. I've tried recently to model some BA/IA Pannonian samples and indeed they came up mostly Slivakian-l ke.
He could be half local Roman (like the more "southern" Szolad samples), and half Ukrainian Scythian (maybe actually Iazyge or some other group).
View attachment 12870
Target: ZEM23:ZEM23
Distance: 2.1348% / 0.02134841
59.4 Scythian_UKR
40.6 HUN_MA_Szolad
What's important is that this guy does have some totally untypical admixtures for the modern Croatian population that can be easily distinguished unlike those more speculative admixtures which are similar to each other such as the Slavic and the IA Pannonian one.
Target: ZEM23:ZEM23
Distance: 2.0948% / 0.02094809
41.4 Scythian_MDA_o
12.0 IRN_Hasanlu_IA
11.4 HRV_IA
11.2 Iberia_Northeast_Empuries2
10.6 Baltic_EST_BA
7.4 ITA_Rome_Imperial
3.0 RUS_Late_Xiongnu
3.0 Sarmatian_RUS_Caspian_steppe
0.0 TKM_IA
Target: ZEM23:ZEM23
Distance: 2.0214% / 0.02021422
41.2 Scythian_MDA_o
15.4 HRV_IA
13.0 IRN_Hasanlu_IA
10.8 Baltic_EST_BA
8.8 Iberia_Northeast_Empuries2
6.4 ITA_Rome_Imperial
4.2 HUN_Hun_elite_Antiquity
0.2 TKM_IA
0.0 Sarmatian_RUS_Caspian_steppe
Im not sure if this fella was a sarmatian to be honest. The Z93 clade looks more related to Z93 you find in West Asia and the sample seems to have plenty of West Asian ancestry.
I think this is the simplest explanation.
he has a bigger Scytho-Sarmatian shift than Iron Age Hungarians and most of the Iron Age Moldovans, so some recent ancestry from the steppes further east is very likely.
on the other side is something with late Roman influence, but also with increased WHG/Balto-Slavic-like, and those Szolad samples fit the bill.
ancient_300bce-300ce.txt zem23_sc.txt
-------------- ANCESTRY BREAKDOWN: -------------
13.631% Sarmatian_RUS_Caucasus__MJ38
13.213% Levant_Beirut_ERoman__SFI-11
13.098% FRA_Hauts_De_France_IA__ATT26
11.653% Migration__Kowalewko_9
10.086% RUS_Ingria_IA__VIII5_2
9.598% ITA_Prenestini_tribe_IA_o__RMPR437b
5.331% Migration__Kowalewko_11
4.747% FRA_Occitanie_IA2__PEY163
4.584% FRA_Grand_Est_IA2__ERS86
4.383% Iberia_East_IA__I3324
3.831% ITA_Rome_Imperial__RMPR111
2.852% Sarmatian_Segizsay__SGZ001
1.938% ITA_Rome_Imperial__RMPR69
0.643% NPL_Mebrak_2125BP__M63
0.176% Saka_Tian_Shan__DA55
0.127% TUR_Kaman-Kalehoyuk_MLBA_low_res__MA2208
0.107% PER_RioUncallane_1800BP__IL4
------------------------------------------------
Fit error: 0.011713414973087354
He looks as a mix of local Pannonian Roman, Sarmatian, Roman Levantine and East Germanic (I added also Kaman Kalehoyuk samples to see if he will get some of Anatolian).
Target: ZEM23:ZEM23
Distance: 2.3116% / 0.02311639
51.2 HUN_MA_Szolad_Roman
45.6 Goth_Kowalewko
3.2 HUN_Hun_elite_Antiquity
But maybe his East Asian is too low for this, in a way.
I would expect more recent mixes from this period, like 1/4 or 1/2 Hunnic. The Gepid and DEU_MA samples are like that.