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Balto-Slavic admixture of Germans

Tomenable

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Here are estimates of Balto-Slavic admixture in Germans, by each region of Germany and Danzig, according to user Rothaer.

He estimated BS admixture in each region of Germany and Danzig as of May 1939 and also BS admixture in Polish Germans.

I calculated the weighted average for entire Germany and Danzig (+ Polish Germans) and the result is 21% of BS admixture:

z9tU3CK.png
 
We used May 1939 census data for population size of Germany and 1931 Polish census data for population of Polish Germans.
 
Lower Austria-Vienna was definitely lower than that in my opinion. Upper Austria could be split in a Western-South Western part, which is like Salzburg and a Northern-Eastern one, which is more like Lower Austria. The 10-25 percent are more appropriate for the North.

E.g. at Ancestry and 23andMe, people from Lower Austria, Upper Austria and Southern Bohemian Germans have rather lower levels of Eastern European, even compared to e.g. Saxons, Franconians (North Eastern Bavaria) and Northern Bohemian Germans.
 
I also disagree with some of his estimates, for example Rgbz. Koeslin should in my opinion have higher BS admixture than Rgbz. Stettin, while he depicted both regions as having the same amount (50%). But I decided to post his estimates unchanged.

Maybe later I will take into account your suggestions + my opinions and I will re-post an updated version.
 
By the way, there is a reason for this pattern I observed: The initial Bavarian settlement was more tribal, whereas the later settlements in areas like Saxony, Silesia etc. were already organised by aristocratic rulers. The latter didn't wanted to get rid of the locals, which they considered tax payers too and in some cases, the rulers were even non-German themselves.

The tribals on the other hand really conquered the country, and had no interest in keeping too many foreigners in their new home. That pattern in the Bavarian settlement zone is therefore more similar to what the outcome of the Slavic expansion was, than the latter German settlement of the East, the organised Ostkolonisation, which was, by comparison, much more inclusive.

Additionally, in the Bavarian zone, new Bavarian settlers came in, from the Bavarian tribespeople, whereas in many other areas we have a peculiar pattern of a large part of settlers coming from an already admixed community, picking up new locals, expanding on and so forth.

That's why even in areas like Bohemia, Northern Bohemian Germans have relatively more Slavic ancestry than Southern Bohemian Germans. The Southern areas were early Bavarian settlements, the Northern later Ostsiedlung, mostly from already colonised territories (like Saxony and Silesia):

Another reason for the pattern is the Böhmerwald region, which was very sparsely settled by Slavs and to which the pathways towards Bavarian areas were more suitable. This too caused the Böhmerwald region to be more German than some other areas of Czechia, in which more Slavs lived when the settlement began and the connections were to the North, rather than the Bavarian West and South.

The difference between tribal conquests (Slavs, Bavarians) and colonisations by states/church/rulers (German Ostsiedlung in general), if they wanted to keep taxpayers, is pretty obvious.
 
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I'm also surprised that Rothaer estimated only 35% for Rgbz. Breslau and more than this for Rgbz. Stettin.

I would rather estimate more for Breslau than for Stettin, but I'm still unsure about absolute percentages.
 
Here a nice map of Early Medieval Slavic tribes compared to modern borders:

RPGjpd7.jpg
 
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