King Bardhyl
Banned
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- 467
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Ebola is an endemic disease of a region of Africa. Usually the virus lives in animals and it passes to humans when humans enter jungle and they get in touch with these animals carrying the virus to the human environment. This usually causes little outbreaks, limited in some tiny areas and recording some victims.
Some factors have made the context worse in the last decades: the contacts with the jungles are more and more invasive [human world is literally eating the jungle], periods of starvation have forced poor people to eat wild animals of any species, also the most odd ones [from a Western perspective], like bats and rats. Unfortunately some of these animals are sane carriers of Ebola.
Crowded areas with unsuitable sanitary structures do the rest: the virus is in full diffusion in those regions.
Rationality:
how many persons are dieing by Ebola in those countries?
According to WHO on October 10th on 8,399 cases 4,033 persons have died = mortality rate a bit above 48%.
The mortality rate has to be suitably underlined: it's well inferior to what expected. This means that the outbreak is not involving the most lethal variants of Ebola [at least so far] and that the sanitary structures are reacting, despite the objective difficulties connected with the area of the first mass contagion.
An other data to be underlined, is the mean of casualties per day. It's increasing. But not in a so dramatic way [this indicates that policies to contain the outbreak are affecting its diffusion in a positive way].
In the middle of August it was around 52 deaths per day, today is getting close to the double, 100 deaths per day. The total of deaths on August 20th was 1,350. So 2,683 patients have died in about 50 days = 53.66.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola_virus_epidemic_in_West_Africa
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/wor...-will-come-to-London-warns-Boris-Johnson.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/wor...teed-return-to-UK-if-they-contract-Ebola.html
http://www.mobs-lab.org/ebola.html
Some factors have made the context worse in the last decades: the contacts with the jungles are more and more invasive [human world is literally eating the jungle], periods of starvation have forced poor people to eat wild animals of any species, also the most odd ones [from a Western perspective], like bats and rats. Unfortunately some of these animals are sane carriers of Ebola.
Crowded areas with unsuitable sanitary structures do the rest: the virus is in full diffusion in those regions.
Rationality:
how many persons are dieing by Ebola in those countries?
According to WHO on October 10th on 8,399 cases 4,033 persons have died = mortality rate a bit above 48%.
The mortality rate has to be suitably underlined: it's well inferior to what expected. This means that the outbreak is not involving the most lethal variants of Ebola [at least so far] and that the sanitary structures are reacting, despite the objective difficulties connected with the area of the first mass contagion.
An other data to be underlined, is the mean of casualties per day. It's increasing. But not in a so dramatic way [this indicates that policies to contain the outbreak are affecting its diffusion in a positive way].
In the middle of August it was around 52 deaths per day, today is getting close to the double, 100 deaths per day. The total of deaths on August 20th was 1,350. So 2,683 patients have died in about 50 days = 53.66.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola_virus_epidemic_in_West_Africa
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/wor...-will-come-to-London-warns-Boris-Johnson.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/wor...teed-return-to-UK-if-they-contract-Ebola.html
http://www.mobs-lab.org/ebola.html