PaleoRevenge
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Glad you caught your error. Overall similar issues to earlier. You can get it to work for one pop but it will fail for other related pops.
With the current setup I got it to to pass with East Balkan source in a neat model, but a friend wants it posted on his blog, so decided not to share. The setup holds well for the populations I have in my dataset, from Bulgarians, to Croatians and Romanians.
Here is a pass.
Medieval and Hellenestic Armenians are almost just as good as a proxy. It is known the Byzantines settled Armenians in Bulgaria as recruiting muscle.
Even a four way model comes pretty close.
This mdv Bulgarian should not be modeled as mdv Albania and pure Slavic, because it has a clear east Asian drift. For a model to come close to passing means the tail is not right.
Steppe tribes that moved into the Pannonian basin then later into Bulgaria can be hard to model. They had resettled Byzantine civilians of different stock in Hungary, including Germanic and Slavic tribesmen.
From southern Arc
Bulgaria looked like this most of the 800s up to 897 AD
And this fellow has a strong east Asian mixture, haplogroup Q, this implies his father could have been a nomad whose war bands roamed Hungary/northern Serbia.
Bulgaria during his lifetime.
right = c('Cameroon_SMA', 'Czech_Vestonice16', 'Belgium_UP_GoyetQ116_1', 'Russia_West_Siberia_HG', 'Serbia_IronGates_Mesolithic', 'Karitiana.DG', 'Papuan.DG', 'Iran_GanjDareh_N', 'Russia_Boisman_MN', 'Romania_C_Bodrogkeresztur', 'Croatia_MLBA', 'Netherlands_EIA', 'Russia_Samara_EBA_Yamnaya', 'Czech_CordedWare', 'Lithuania_EMN_Narva', 'Turkey_Arslantepe_LateC', 'Israel_C', 'Iraq_PPNA', 'ONG.SG')
Removed Cyprus_C and Turkey_Epipaleolithic since they added no value.
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