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Modern Population aDNA Modeling

Hjiju6

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Why can populations be modeled exactly on older populations? Even if a population stayed genetically isolated, it wouldn’t look the same as it did in the past. I don’t imagine all Eurasian humans (without African admixture) can be modeled as 100% “the first migrants out of Africa.” Is it just the case that modern humans are just extremely similar to ancient humans 20k-40k years ago? To be honest with you, I don’t understand how humans can be modeled purely as populations from the ice age, like ANE or Basal Eurasian. Surely there must be a small percentage that’s unique to the modern population.If you don’t get what I’m saying, let’s say a population is genetically isolated for 20,000 years. Let’s call the population at year 0 population A, and at year 20,000 population B. Can population B be modeled as 100% population A? This gets to my question about how modern populations can be modeled as a mix of ancient populations like ANE and Basal Eurasian, or even more modern (but still ancient) populations like Yamnaya and EEF.
 
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Agree. The modelisations are based on proxi's and are useful only to show some proximities and distances to ancient pops and eventually when and how crossings occurred. Every living pop knows mutations and drift over time even without* introgression (*what is rare!), IMO.
 
So how should we approach tree maps like this?
17023499-11FB-4137-B6BC-1C9E38507FBA.jpg
 
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