Slavic migration in medieval albania(Albania ancestry timeline)

[Kari]

(Part1)The MBA populations who lived in albania expierenced a small mixture(15-20%) from Southeastern Balkan populations(Greeks,Thracians) in the Late Bronze Age.
We can see the Ancient Greek colonies in Albania.

Between 0-300 AD a migration of MENA-related populations affected the Balkanic people.
Although,proportions of MENA-Admixture populations are very low in Roman Republic south Illyrians (2-4%).

During the end of Byzantine Empire,Albanians were probably
the least slavic admixed population in the Balkan peninsula,with an average of 10%.

They had also mixed with Greeks(+15-20% than South Illyrians) and even MENA-Related populations(3-7%).

Distance to:	Iberia_Northeast_Empuries2
0.05009659	Albania_Early_Medieval_Shtike
0.06335620	Albania_Early_Medieval_Kenete
0.07692420	ALB_Cinamak_Anc

For the MENA admixture i used the model I used above.

Caucasus_Hunter_Gatherer_7.728bc,0.091058,0.102568,-0.083344,-0.00323,-0.08617,0.020638,0.024911,-0.001846,-0.128236,-0.074717,-0.006333,0.023979,-0.054856,0.004404,0.026601,-0.03275,0.02386,-0.013429,-0.022249,0.034767,0.033815,-0.007048,0.006532,-0.025787,-0.002036Iran_Neolithic_Farmer_Ganj_8.200bc,0.0430252,0.0664158,-0.1550722,0.0047158,-0.122669,0.0235384,0.017109,-0.0011998,-0.082546,-0.0544158,-0.0028258,-0.0016186,0.0044896,-0.0062756,0.0316498,0.0561384,-0.0054242,0.0068664,0.0136508,-0.0334162,0.00856,-0.028836,-0.0110678,-0.039331,0.0222254
East_Europe_Hunter_Gatherer_Karelia_6500bc:,0.1236877,0.0321583,0.129855,0.2101663,-0.010361,0.0571723,-0.0196627,-0.0234603,-0.002659,-0.0860153,0.0182957,-0.0184337,0.0333497,-0.039085,0.018865,0.0295237,-0.0148203,0.0031673,-0.0044413,0.012506,-0.007487,0.0169817,0.0093667,-0.021007,-0.0103383
West_Europe_Hunter_Gatherer_Grotta_9500bc,0.1225497,0.1120467,0.2008793,0.2048907,0.1728527,0.0618207,0.0160593,0.0412293,0.108602,0.0271533,-0.0193243,-0.0143373,0.0162043,-0.0086703,0.0708007,0.069035,0.0002173,0.0120353,-0.0099303,0.0637807,0.118,0.0113347,-0.0608843,-0.1971763,0.021994
Anatolian_Neolithic_Farmer_Barcin_6400bc:,0.1175998,0.180118,0.0035312,-0.101158,0.0510443,-0.0483875,-0.0043582,-0.0069334,0.0362287,0.0807473,0.0079718,0.0118803,-0.0234545,0.0004691,-0.0419807,-0.0101913,0.0233091,0.0019866,0.0136954,-0.0097489,-0.0142249,0.0057723,-0.0041232,-0.0031658,-0.0043437
Levant_Natufian_11.000bc,0.01935,0.135065,-0.039221,-0.135984,0.026774,-0.076137,-0.019036,-0.024691,0.100626,-0.008018,0.02858,-0.019633,0.067343,0.001651,0.022801,0.02612,-0.0103,0.006714,-0.018101,0.041395,-0.004118,-0.003215,-0.014297,-0.011206,0.011975
Iberomaurusian_Taforalt_Morocco_12550bc,-0.189857,0.0814452,-0.0242866,-0.085595,0.027636,-0.0552202,-0.0705968,0.0184146,0.155397,0.003499,0.0209156,-0.0318316,0.0747168,-0.0513334,0.0711988,-0.0363032,0.0052676,-0.066106,-0.1424162,0.0389938,-0.0376836,-0.1255322,0.0730118,-0.0137606,0.0164534
West_African_Yoruba,-0.6300625,0.0625011,0.022113,0.0167079,0.0005035,0.0124741,-0.044417,0.0477673,-0.0488813,0.0327694,0.0046205,0.0007904,0.0230561,0.0009509,0.0125232,-0.0096067,0.0070763,0.0004491,0.006022,-0.00299,0.0015542,0.0023156,-0.0017592,-0.0004711,-0.0004246
East_African_Ethiopia_Mota,-0.515619,0.041637,-0.003394,-0.001292,-0.00277,-0.011713,0.054992,-0.052382,0.090604,-0.094581,-0.013478,0.003297,-0.031962,-0.001927,0.023615,-0.031291,0.031944,0.043454,-0.002388,-0.00963,-0.001248,0.00643,-0.005176,-0.003133,0.004071
East_African_Nilotic_Dinka:,-0.577083,0.0507765,-0.0003773,-0.0075098,-0.0053855,-0.0016735,-0.0176848,0.0204222,0.081145,-0.0969495,-0.02107,0.022742,-0.0383172,-0.0011698,0.0101452,-0.021347,0.0186125,-0.0094382,0.0241968,-0.0241678,0.002402,0.003308,0.001479,0.0009038,0.0096995
African_Bantu_Cameroon:Mbo,-0.6299838,0.0642685,0.0217293,0.0171959,0,0.0123643,-0.026198,0.0295042,-0.0372623,0.020315,0.0004329,-0.0030258,0.0052456,0.0015008,-0.0011957,0.002557,-0.0020923,0.0004827,-0.0005926,0.0015365,0.0017766,0.0018547,0.0014144,-0.0011476,-0.0009922
African_Khomani_San,-0.6220435,0.060424,0.02093,0.030039,-0.0004615,0.000837,0.236773,-0.1823,0.0185095,0.0067425,0.00203,-0.053952,-0.0211845,0.005505,0.018797,-0.0212805,0.029662,0.2623085,-0.0877375,0.001751,-0.0331915,-0.002844,0.0038205,-0.0050005,0.0016765
African_Mbuti,-0.647426,0.0591038,0.0254932,0.0374034,-0.001108,0.0066378,0.3663348,-0.293434,0.0177118,0.02985,-0.0089316,0.2198242,0.1264506,0.0010182,0.010342,-0.0014052,0.0009386,-0.0518664,0.014229,0.003727,0.0061144,-0.0018548,-0.0043878,0.0025304,-0.0006944
East_Asian(RUS_Baikal_N),0.0369925,-0.3759998,0.0873978,-0.000969,-0.0858622,-0.044762,0.0027615,-0.0042693,0.0119135,0.0067425,0.002111,-0.0064442,0.0046085,-0.0064685,-0.009738,-0.0020222,-0.0035528,0.0041172,0.0048395,0.016414,-0.0140692,-0.0098305,-0.0129102,-0.00488,0.005808
South_Asian_Onge,-0.0225251,-0.2445288,-0.1324289,0.095965,0.0299327,-0.0047557,-0.0076438,0.0075786,0.0548233,0.0244388,0.023495,0.0032182,-0.0040608,0.0084746,-0.0126933,-0.0111446,0.010918,-0.0016203,-0.0059807,0.0288295,-0.0037107,0.0096905,-0.0128242,-0.0011225,0.0043426
Yamnaya_Samara_Pontic_Steppe_3300bc,0.1252054,0.0891408,0.0430338,0.1150967,-0.0285181,0.0453663,0.0046478,-0.002513,-0.0555623,-0.0727931,0.0006676,0.0005994,-0.0030724,-0.023564,0.0363427,0.0152183,-0.0007246,-0.0015204,-0.0039106,0.0140344,-0.0036879,0.000426,0.0109278,0.0184497,-0.0043241
Levant_Neolithic_Farmer_76000bc:,0.0725625,0.1650235,-0.0309238,-0.1380835,0.0323138,-0.062541,-0.012103,-0.0141338,0.0735775,0.0367207,0.0194055,-0.0170098,0.036459,-0.000241,-0.021342,0.0067288,0.0089638,-0.0013935,-0.0054052,0.0192277,-0.0037435,0.007852,-0.0014175,-0.0062658,-0.0047002

 

[Kari]

(Part2)In the Medieval Age,South-Slavic populations migrated in Albania.R1a and I2a(Slavic Y-DNA haplogroups), are low in modern Albanians(14,1% according to Rrenjet).The influence of this migration can be calculated
by using Serbs as our South-Slavic source,and Sicilians as our Balkan-IA like source.

According to that model,the Albanian population had an affect
by that migration which is calculated from 20-24%.That migration
also lowered the Greek ancestry of Albanians and brought it back to South Illyrian levels.(15-20%).

Distance to:	Iberia_Northeast_Empuries2
0.05009659	Albania_Early_Medieval_Shtike
0.06335620	Albania_Early_Medieval_Kenete
0.07215862	Albanian
0.07692420	ALB_Cinamak_Anc
0.09244253	Albania_MBA

The overall South Slavic Ancestry is 30-35%,adding up the 10% of slavic ancestry
Albanians had before the South-Slavic medieval migration.
SAMPLES USED IN BOTH PARTS

Albania_Early_Medieval_Kenete,0.111547,0.15436,0.013953,-0.033592,0.016003,-0.001673,-0.001645,-0.001385,-0.001227,0.016037,0.006008,0.005845,-0.005946,0.00234,-0.013436,-0.013259,0.015255,-0.007728,0.009302,-0.012381,-0.015348,0.006801,-0.005669,-0.00735,-0.005389
Albania_Early_Medieval_Shtike,0.120652,0.151314,0.013953,-0.037468,0.030159,-0.012271,-0.001175,-0.001615,0.006136,0.025149,-0.004222,0.003897,-0.015609,0.002202,-0.019815,-0.007425,0.008605,0.006461,0.00817,-0.014257,-0.007112,0.002968,0.006039,-0.003735,-0.000599
Albania_MBA,0.124067,0.144205,0.017725,0.000323,0.03416,-0.019801,0.00564,-0.012461,0.011658,0.034078,0.003248,0.004346,-0.005352,-0.022432,-0.008822,0.004243,0.026989,-0.007475,0.001885,0.006128,-0.000873,0.006059,0.007765,0.010724,0.008143
Albanian,0.12217939,0.14341256,0.017687854,-0.016268171,0.025445634,-0.0074144146,0.0029231707,0.0014914634,0.0015264634,0.017650268,0.00025743902,0.003322561,-0.0064287073,0.006897878,-0.019745683,-0.0016298537,0.012923854,0.00061804878,0.0077258537,-0.0062072195,-0.0086979756,0.0010073171,0.0025580488,0.003150561,-0.0027305366
ALB_Cinamak_Anc,0.1239044,0.1531999,0.0288229,-0.0124586,0.0291481,-0.0053786,0.001175,0.0003956,-0.000292,0.0241073,0.0025981,0.0065729,-0.0183066,-0.0076479,-0.0091901,-0.0024623,0.0109894,0.0014116,0.0047407,-0.0086647,-0.005633,0.0017666,-0.0033629,0.006593,-0.0054743
Iberia_Northeast_Empuries2,0.118376,0.158423,-0.009051,-0.0670225,0.0252355,-0.027889,0.001645,-0.005077,0.0049085,0.042552,0.002842,0.01124,-0.016873,0.003578,-0.018526,-0.0157785,0.0035855,0.0003805,0.004588,-0.0126935,-0.008298,0.001546,0.001664,0.0071095,-0.008502
Sicilian_East,0.1031997,0.1465747,-0.007291,-0.0411287,0.0178493,-0.0153393,-0.0019583,7.7e-05,0.0075673,0.0213217,0.0073073,0.0038967,-0.0061447,0.0031193,-0.0059263,-0.006497,-0.0028683,-0.00114,0.0044833,-0.003877,-4.13e-05,0.0026793,-0.0018897,0.0022893,0.000399
Sicilian_West,0.1001643,0.1455593,-0.0003773,-0.03553,0.019388,-0.0098543,-0.0006267,0.0005383,0.013362,0.0222937,0.00341,0.0030973,-0.00223,0.0018807,-0.002262,-0.003182,-0.0018687,-4.23e-05,-0.00088,-0.006128,0.000832,0.0008243,-0.0032043,-0.0034943,0.0002393
Serbian,0.1273334,0.137229,0.040024,0.0148299,0.0314974,0.0045957,0.0048738,0.006672,-0.0011737,-7.9e-06,-0.0022946,-0.001251,0.0034128,0.012434,-0.0128875,-0.0008358,0.0040476,0.0005894,0.0043011,-0.0024468,-0.0083168,-0.0017151,0.0048925,0.000372,-0.0020097
Aegean,0.1031997,0.1465747,-0.007291,-0.0411287,0.0178493,-0.0153393,-0.0019583,7.7e-05,0.0075673,0.0213217,0.0073073,0.0038967,-0.0061447,0.0031193,-0.0059263,-0.006497,-0.0028683,-0.00114,0.0044833,-0.003877,-4.13e-05,0.0026793,-0.0018897,0.0022893,0.000399
Aegean,0.1001643,0.1455593,-0.0003773,-0.03553,0.019388,-0.0098543,-0.0006267,0.0005383,0.013362,0.0222937,0.00341,0.0030973,-0.00223,0.0018807,-0.002262,-0.003182,-0.0018687,-4.23e-05,-0.00088,-0.006128,0.000832,0.0008243,-0.0032043,-0.0034943,0.0002393
Slavic,0.1329454,0.1141455,0.087756,0.0833017,0.0427771,0.0297575,0.0113745,0.0144457,0.0004091,-0.028447,6.5e-05,-0.0123489,0.0194597,0.0213591,-0.0066639,0.0017104,0.0002216,-0.0024832,0.0013451,0.0022137,0.001385,-0.0018672,0.0042644,0.0007471,0.0030535
Albania_LBA-LIA_Cinamak,0.125205,0.152329,0.025644,-0.010336,0.019388,0.001116,-0.008695,0.003461,0.006136,0.025878,0.007145,0.010641,-0.018583,-0.00234,-0.011536,-0.006099,0.008605,0.00038,0.009679,-0.004877,-0.010981,-0.006183,-0.001479,0.012411,0.003113
Albania_LIA_Cinamak,0.1232135,0.1566455,0.030924,-0.01267775,0.0323135,-0.0073905,0.003995,-0.00340375,-0.00153375,0.02523975,0.00263875,0.006894,-0.0180995,-0.0067435,-0.009093,-0.00245275,0.0149615,0.002407,0.00282825,-0.01006725,-0.005116,0.0024115,-0.005084,0.009911,-0.00793325
Albania_LIA-Roman_Republic_Cinamak,0.124067,0.144205,0.018102,-0.019703,0.025851,-0.003347,0.002115,0.008077,0.000205,0.022233,-0.000974,0.005095,-0.017096,-0.017753,-0.013301,-0.003447,0.00665,-0.003294,0.010182,-0.013006,-0.000125,0.005441,-0.007148,-0.001687,-0.004431
Albania_MLBA-LIA_Cinamak,0.125205,0.149283,0.034318,-0.00646,0.029544,-0.005857,-0.001175,0.004846,-0.00225,0.019681,0.001461,0.002698,-0.020069,-0.006468,-0.003122,0.002121,0.001825,0.003167,0.002011,-0.002501,-0.007861,0.003462,0.005423,-0.004217,-0.005269

 

[bigsnake49]

The Serbians are already admixed between Slavs and local populations. Local populations that are already relatively close to Sicilian East. From when are the Sicilian East samples? If they are modern, Arbereshe people have lived in Sicily so they need to be excluded.

 

[Kari]

Thats the point that Serbian are South-Slavic(not entirely slavic).Modern Albanians are more shifted to Serbians than the
Early Medieval ones,because Serbian-like populations migrated there.That 30-35% South Slavic Ancestry is not entirely Slavic,
Slavic is around 20%,and the ancestry derived by the local side of the serbians is around 10-15%.By doing this model i wanted to show how
albanians were pushed to the north,and thats why i used Serbians,who are more northern than Albanians,and South-Slavic people,like the people
that migrated to albania.