Interesting. Are you referring to this? Was not an applause, rather upvoted cause it was a fact I was not aware before I saw Brumzi share the source. So no idea how that can be held against me.
Which kind of fact? On the next page of this paper, he clearly states that G?va and Belegis II-G?va being related and their deeper genetic relations go beyond the scope of his article. That's for an author like him, who wanted to stress the differences, as far as he could go in telling: They come from the same source, but are different development, provinces.
Like what you expect if a source group splits into separate tribes, of which the new Southern one has local influences and substrate effects. Like many known people had similar sort of differences, like when the East Germanic Goths split up into Western and Eastern Goths or the like. It's on that level.
And I don't blame you, because like you say, you simply had no idea and probably don't care that much, but Bruzmi, because he posted just this page, with the next saying something different, and giving you an upvote for stating that "G?va and Belegis II-G?va are unrelated, interesting" or the like. I mean any honest writer would say: Distinct, but at least related, if not just different branches from the same tree.
You can read it on the next page... But that's the kind of misinformation being spread and he's happy if people follow the wrong trail. I myself always said that nobody can't say for sure how big the genetic impact of the G?va people in their Belegis II-G?va province was. Like it could have been just 10 % of males coming down, bringing the culture, and local clans getting turned towards the new ways of G?va, with some regional adaptations. I can't say anything against such a hypothesis, as long as we don't have solid G?va data. But to state that G?va and Belegis II-G?va are not related is just plain wrong. That's logically and scientifically absurd. Such claims are what upsets me the most, and so do people which play with that and kind of troll me. Because at some point people can't be as naive, that's intentional.
I might give everybody the benefit of doubt, that he is not that mean and manipulative. But if somebody does the same "trick" again and again, even with the same misquoted passages from papers, it get's really annoying and that's just trolling.
If somebody has a different point of view, if being refuted with concrete evidence, you can come up with something new. But misquoting the same passages 10 times, that's really too much for being honest and having good intentions.
My question is rather what is the core philosophical difference between Bela Crkva and Gava, aka the two competing hypotheses here?
The most basic difference is that G?va can be connected to huge, impressive movement, which expanded over a gigantic territory in a very short time. So its ideal for an expanding, conquering population. And that's exactly what we need for E-V13, because it has dozens of new, main subclade branches right in the time frame of 1.300-1.000 BC. If you go through the E-V13 tree, practically all major clades came up in that time and spread over many parts of Europe in this time slot.
We deal with a big series of founder effects, like for early Slavs or Germanics, just with a worse long term outcome.
G?va has the position, the expansion, and its a lasting phenomenon, because whereever it stood its ground, we see later Thracian people.
That's ideal for an expansion like E-V13 had it.
Now what's Bela Crkva in comparison? It had no such big expansion, even less in that time frame. It can't be associated with the right places or people and seems to have been much too close to J-L283 dominated groups and spheres. Simple put: Its a very bad fit.
What does that change at the heart of the matter. I am trying to wrap my head around this and tbh, I feel you guys have taken this way too personally, maybe a step back would help reassess things.
Two issues:
- I believe its the only plausible alternative. Call me a bit self-opinionated or dogmatic on the matter, but I went through all the evidence, and I really think that no other alternative is still standing. There is simply no way around Channelled Ware. Even if G?va in the North, in its core, wouldn't be it, E-V13 must have spread with Channelled Ware and being dominant in Bosut-Basarabi, Psenichevo-Babadag. Can't be anything else, because the data is so clear for me, I just don't get how people can still go for alternatives. Its a question of logic and truth.
- What's really annoying is if people don't play honest. Like trolling or acting close to it. You can't use the same papers 3 times for supposed Bronze Age continuity, if these papers, even if they are anti-migrationist ideologically, clearly HAVE TO confess that e.g. Thrace was completely turned upside down by the arrival of Fluted/Channelled Ware.
Quoting something about the different provinces of Thrace in the Middle Bronze Age. That's like saying there was no Slavic migration, because there was no Slavic-like culture in Roman era Serbia. Well, if we're talking about the Transitional Period, it matters what happened then, in this period of transition.
Honestly I simply can't stand the ignorance of people which still go against a migratory explanation in cases in which everything, really everything, is so clearly in favour of a large scale replacement event. That's just ideological. If you see in the record a complete turnover, and the new package being clearly connected to people living in the neighbourhood - you can't just say "it might be no migration, but local evolution". On which base do people make that claim? On the base of the complete archaeological culture having changed, but some huts being left intact? Seriously, it annoys if people can't add 2 + 2 and keep saying ideological nonsense.
Whether they are on the internet or in real life, I can't stand that.
Cause if one gets invested too much and later the facts don't line up, that can't be good for mental health. I try to keep some insulation between myself and my hypotheses, cause its not for granted the hypothesis will be right, and that is the whole point of an hypothesis to begin with.
You are right, that's probably my problem, that I'm emotionally invested. But its like if you see a pattern and there is, even after having tested the hypothesis numerous times, absolutely nothing which goes against it, but people argue against that hypothesis with false, manipulated and hypocritical arguments, well, that's just annoying.
Like I said before: People are afraid to talk about big, replacement level migrations in archaeology and genetics. It's kind of risky, especially for the official researchers. If you keep saying population continuity, against all odds, you still get a nice welcome. But if you say anyting about ethnic, tribal migration, regardless of how good the factual evidence is, you are entering a dangerous mine field in archaeology, because of the ideological pressures and limitations set.
Like some early researchers just called all the Channelled Ware groups "G?va", but then came the counter movement with people saying: No, such a phenomenon can't be that big, there are regional differences. Like they make smaller knobs on the pots or they used a slightly different plan for their huts and stuff like that. Yet we know from actual, proven ethnic groups, that they often had much larger differences between their provinces. But these differences being overstressed and "accidently" all national research groups use different names for basically the same package and phenomenon, which appeared in all these regions roughly about the same time. And these small differences still don't explain how the whole package could travel within one generation and could either successively or even rapidly replace regional earlier cultures.
I was very dissatisfied with the E-V13 origin theories, because they were always missing big parts of the story, which the established narratives were unable to explain. And this hypothesis with Channelled Ware is the only one I ever heard which brings all pieces together. Probably someone can create a better one, but at this point, with the data we got in the last 3 years, I highly doubt that. Because all half-way plausible alternatives being killed by the data.
Again:
E-V13
- must have been dominant in a fairly big population from the MBA-MIA. It can't be a minority group, hidden somewhere without a strong regional concentration. The modern data documenting the founder effects is clear about that. Up to about 1.200 BC the bulk of the E-V13 population still lived together, in one population.
- the population and associated culture did rapidly expand, especially in the Transitional Period from about 1.300-1.000 BC. It did so in almost all directions, including along the Danube and westwards on a low level, but strongest into the Balkans.
Any candidate region or culture must account for that, as well as for the earlier or densely sampled ancient DNA regions, like Psenichevo (Kapitan Andreevo, Bulgaria), Viminacium (Serbian Danube) or the Tisza-Transtisza regions of Hungary.
About 1.300-1.000 BC is just such a peak for the E-V13 haplogroup, that something really big did happen to this E-V13 population. Just sitting around in a protected Balkan zone, without a massive outward expansion, is absolutely no option. And if they wouldn't have cremated their dead and lived in the Balkans, we should have dozens of BA samples by now, but we don't.