My models are pointing to the fact that West and Central Corded Ware were made mostly of East Yamnaya source, with some additional WHG and EEF. Northern Corded however were mostly made of Yamnaya Outlier (most likely something like Ukrainian HG of West Yamnaya) with a little bit of EEF added. The third group, Baden/Hungarian Bronze Age was made of some mix of half and half of EEF and WHG, possibly a mix that happened in North Cucuteni, and possible enriched by 10% of Anatolia BA. This is my general view of Bronze Age of north Europe.
Two days ago, I did a progress in deciphering LBA/IA Germanics/Saxons. Good results came from mixing German CW with Nordic Farmer and some extra of SHG. The results are very close to modern Dutch, denoting no major changes in this area since IA.
Yesterday I was trying to understand why modern Poles are different than CW or Unetice. Especially ratio of Baloch to Caucasian is flipped and Med is a 3rd lower. I picked the best sample of Unetice (considered the main ancestor) and started to mix it with other guys/girls from same area and timeframe. I started getting good results when added BR2 to the mix, the guy from Baden/Hungarian Bronze Age. What surprised me the most was that I got the best results when I eliminated Unetice completely and added more EHG to the Bronze guy. Here it is:
[TABLE="width: 714"]
[TR]
[TD]Unetice[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
Baden[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
0.7[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
EHG[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
0.3[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]F999948[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Rise150, Poland, slask 1750 BC[/TD]
[TD]F999933[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"]BR2, J-M67[/TD]
[TD]M218547[/TD]
[TD]I0124[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 4"]
Model of modern Polish[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Poland, slask 3.75 kya[/TD]
[TD]3.5kya[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Hungary, Ludas-Varjú-dűlő,[/TD]
[TD]3.3kya[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Samara HG[/TD]
[TD]7.6 kya[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Composition[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Mine[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Run time[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.44[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Run time[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15.13[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Run time[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.57[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Run time[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Run time[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]S-Indian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]S-Indian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]S-Indian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]S-Indian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]S-Indian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.62[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Baloch[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.65[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Baloch[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.15[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Baloch[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.33[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
Baloch[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
6.504[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Baloch[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Caucasian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.73[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Caucasian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.73[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Caucasian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
Caucasian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
10.311[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Caucasian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.05[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]NE-Euro[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]53.54[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]NE-Euro[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]46.18[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]NE-Euro[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]75.62[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
NE-Euro[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
55.012[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]NE-Euro[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]57.28[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]SE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]SE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.2[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]SE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]SE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.14[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]SE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.54[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Siberian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Siberian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Siberian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Siberian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Siberian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.22[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]NE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]NE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]NE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]NE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]NE-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.35[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Papuan[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.48[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Papuan[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.18[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Papuan[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Papuan[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.126[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Papuan[/TD]
[TD]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]American[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.22[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]American[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]American[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.62[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]American[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.886[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]American[/TD]
[TD]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Beringian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.49[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Beringian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Beringian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.15[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Beringian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.045[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Beringian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.07[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Mediterranean[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]27.12[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Mediterranean[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]31.73[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Mediterranean[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
Mediterranean[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
22.211[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Mediterranean[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21.53[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]SW-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]SW-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.33[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]SW-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]SW-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.331[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]SW-Asian[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]San[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]San[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]San[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]San[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]San[/TD]
[TD]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]E-African[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.34[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]E-African[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]E-African[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]E-African[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]E-African[/TD]
[TD]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Pygmy[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Pygmy[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Pygmy[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Pygmy[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Pygmy[/TD]
[TD]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]W-African[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.42[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]W-African[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.48[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]W-African[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.2[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]W-African[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.396[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]W-African[/TD]
[TD]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
It was shocking, I didn't expect this at all. Then I remembered this map I've seen some time ago about BR2 connection to modern Poland.
Samara HG in my model is the EHG, not the Outlier. It is the best proxy so far, and I think the true source should be EHG from North who instead of American admixture had Syberian (the Finnish type?)
This Hungarian Bronze was very influential all over the Europe even in Anatolia. Was it connected to Celts, Italics, Dacians, Slavs? On other hand Eastern Yamnaya/Unetice was more of Germanic/Insular Celtic story? Also the East Yamnaya/Germany doesn't have any presence in Asia at all these days. On other hand BR2/West Yamnaya penetrates into the Asia. (IE?)
The final changes of Germanic/Yours genome and admixtures should have something to do with this Hungarian Bronze age spread. I speculate that this happened after BA collapse in Iron Age, with final stage much later with East Germanic and Slavic expansions.